KKchallenge
0xfe032d6324fd345a5c0569424a0207349964f14f
- Realised P&L
- $-54.6k
- Volume
- $21.51M
- Markets traded
- 473
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded473
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.3kat 0.001US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$6.0kat 0.500Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$6.0kat 0.938SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
- +$5.1kat 0.836Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
- +$3.5kat 0.200Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 12:37 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $19.07 |
| 08-19 12:37 | Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $72.97 |
| 08-19 12:37 | Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $60.00 |
| 08-19 12:36 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.00 |
| 08-06 14:59 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.214 | $34.70 |
| 08-06 11:55 | Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 08:32 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.003 | $3.62 |
| 07-19 22:10 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.10 |
| 07-19 19:45 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.602 | $1.10 |
| 07-19 05:19 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.006 | $6.00 |
| 07-19 05:09 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.007 | $4.21 |
| 07-18 13:19 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.15 |
| 07-17 11:32 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.91 |
| 07-17 05:31 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.30 |
| 07-16 09:02 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.005 | $250.00 |