PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x253da8157571bae06d6cf750eeb1b26830a43307

Realised P&L
$75.4k
Volume
$19.24M
Markets traded
541
Open portfolio
$26.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded541
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0810.182$6.1k+$3.4k
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.164$3.7k$7.6k
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.064$3.6k+$3.2k
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.054$2.8k+$2.4k
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0150.024$2.4k+$920.52
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.018$1.2k+$676.70
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.033$1.2k+$884.67
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.015$846.06+$390.24
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.082$795.40+$719.62
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.025$768.05+$523.15
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$329.17$138.37
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.004$314.32$231.34
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.005$303.94$127.76
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6770.935$290.42+$80.24
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.3530.839$286.98+$166.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 22:55Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.002$159.70
07-20 18:34Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.994$9.9k
07-08 22:29Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.1513345$302.67
06-23 21:05Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.092$32.24
06-15 18:39Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.995$322.37
06-11 14:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.75$600.00
06-02 19:00MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.992$1.5k
06-02 18:59MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.992$992.00
05-27 15:34Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.006$30.01
05-27 15:33Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.009$313.64
05-26 20:52Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.02$100.00
05-19 21:28Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.02$773.59
05-18 18:31Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.95$950.00
05-18 18:30Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.014$28.00
05-18 18:29Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.02$100.00