TedforPrez29
0x33ce69266d3ee4bb5cc25e7eccdc2688a4a1fcc0
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $387.0k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.018 | $4.7k | +$2.3k |
| Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $375.00 | −$374.94 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.79at 0.276Hurricanes vs. Canadiens
- +$-2.09at 0.174Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5
- +$-2.55at 0.367Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
- +$-3.86at 0.011Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$-5.20at 0.002Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 20:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $4.50 |
| 06-02 03:20 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 03:19 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.009 | $9.90 |
| 06-02 01:27 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $23.00 |
| 05-27 02:21 | Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.3599999309 | $2.50 |
| 05-27 01:33 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $300.00 |
| 05-27 00:55 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.009 | $450.00 |
| 05-26 02:50 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | SELL | 0.43 | $2.32 |
| 05-26 00:34 | Hurricanes vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.2699998853 | $1.46 |
| 05-21 02:43 | Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.17 | $2.04 |
| 05-21 02:41 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.46 |
| 05-18 19:02 | Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.0102593565 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 18:52 | Will Trump visit China by May 15? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 21:23 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $944.13 |
| 04-05 22:34 | Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $147.00 |