PolyBot

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Traders

TedforPrez29

0x33ce69266d3ee4bb5cc25e7eccdc2688a4a1fcc0

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$387.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.018$4.7k+$2.3k
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.004$375.00$374.94
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$33.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.0050.000$0.00$4.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 20:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.005$4.50
06-02 03:20MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.003$10.00
06-02 03:19Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.009$9.90
06-02 01:27MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.005$23.00
05-27 02:21Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsBUY0.3599999309$2.50
05-27 01:33Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.009$300.00
05-27 00:55Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.009$450.00
05-26 02:50Hurricanes vs. CanadiensSELL0.43$2.32
05-26 00:34Hurricanes vs. CanadiensBUY0.2699998853$1.46
05-21 02:43Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5BUY0.17$2.04
05-21 02:41Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?SELL0.003$1.46
05-18 19:02Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.0102593565$5.00
05-12 18:52Will Trump visit China by May 15?BUY0.002$5.00
05-10 21:23Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$944.13
04-05 22:34Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.01$147.00