PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rjpoly

0x21fe77f7c7861c5f0a70a26ae86dfbaf1c5eda90

Realised P&L
$18.7k
Volume
$1.31M
Markets traded
772
Open portfolio
$9.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded772
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.8970.935$1.1k+$44.06
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.013$874.97$88.97
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.8200.934$787.78+$96.52
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · No0.8070.931$651.70+$86.70
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.7000.948$638.30+$166.55
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.4560.487$633.74+$40.75
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9600.983$491.25+$11.45
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9100.955$477.49+$22.50
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.9060.930$472.35+$12.16
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? · No0.8290.945$388.48+$47.62
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9320.961$384.19+$11.52
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.004$360.00$39.61
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? · Yes0.7000.695$347.50$2.50
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7900.925$276.26+$40.32
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.7470.867$259.95+$35.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 06:05Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9608217718$1.2k
09-08 01:46Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?BUY0.9162608696$21.07
09-07 23:23Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.91$280.19
08-20 02:32Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.999$0.10
08-20 02:32Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.999$71.43
08-20 02:28Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2028?BUY0.57$36.47
08-19 07:28Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.003$90.00
08-12 17:01Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.923$55.38
08-11 03:36Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.008$16.00
08-10 08:38XRP Up or Down - August 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.094$0.94
08-08 21:50Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.94$37.59
07-13 03:31Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027?BUY0.93$186.00
07-12 23:17Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?BUY0.85$85.00
07-12 23:10Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.958$95.80
07-12 02:58Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.845$84.50