Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://lmarena.ai/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.001. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.002. Range 0.001 to 0.002. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	23,245	23,245
0.002	14,412	37,657
0.003	7,435	45,092
0.004	114	45,206
0.005	6,167	51,373
0.006	11,621	62,994
0.007	15	63,009
0.009	1,985	64,994
0.012	156	65,150
0.019	50	65,200
0.025	802	66,002
0.030	50	66,052

Spread—Mid—

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total

Spread—Mid—

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	23,245	23,245
0.998	14,412	37,657
0.997	7,435	45,092
0.996	114	45,206
0.995	6,167	51,373
0.994	11,621	62,994
0.993	15	63,009
0.991	1,985	64,994
0.988	156	65,150
0.981	50	65,200
0.975	802	66,002
0.970	50	66,052

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AnimalEater	Yes	36,493.99
OnYesYes	Yes	35,642.18
forgotmydinner	Yes	20,204.85
qing123	Yes	19,999.8
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	7,635
0x2999227CCDa235d42032e2a452f3b8954Fa33898-1768158371586	Yes	7,076.96
0xb92b…0a74	Yes	5,000
ttyoo	Yes	4,999.95
TruongMyLan	Yes	4,269.32
francesco1508	Yes	3,750
balthazar	Yes	2,064.06
dgfd76	Yes	1,394.28
Crypto-Well	Yes	1,078.23
0xBd1a51A2bd06E3DDC017c10Af5f2880ebFE15375-1776897200379	Yes	1,030.72
norealtime	Yes	1,000
acal	Yes	999.98
Superbigote	Yes	876.63
0x91819e7ddB7250B459aa9dAD828b05bF976364ac-1768087232866	Yes	791.91
0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758	Yes	673
lpgb	Yes	655

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:21:16	BUY	Yes	0.001	5,000	$5.00
17:10:28	SELL	Yes	0.001	20	$0.02
13:38:37	BUY	No	0.999	30	$29.97
09:16:49	SELL	Yes	0.001	3,333	$3.33
06:12:36	SELL	Yes	0.001	2,154	$2.15
06:12:18	SELL	Yes	0.001	26,942	$26.94
06:11:01	SELL	Yes	0.001	2,038	$2.04
06:11:00	SELL	Yes	0.001	7	$0.01
21:44:37	SELL	Yes	0.001	165	$0.16
21:44:37	SELL	Yes	0.001	184	$0.18
21:44:24	SELL	Yes	0.001	298	$0.30
21:44:24	SELL	Yes	0.001	50	$0.05
21:44:07	BUY	No	0.999	101	$101.37
21:44:07	BUY	No	0.999	49	$48.48
15:14:55	SELL	Yes	0.001	65	$0.06
15:14:54	SELL	Yes	0.001	75	$0.08
15:14:39	BUY	No	0.999	100	$99.90
15:14:39	BUY	No	0.999	30	$29.97
15:14:39	SELL	Yes	0.001	79	$0.08
15:14:39	SELL	Yes	0.001	121	$0.12
14:43:28	SELL	No	0.998	59	$58.54
14:36:15	BUY	No	0.999	49	$49.00
13:54:03	BUY	No	0.999	10	$9.61
13:51:00	BUY	No	0.999	50	$49.95
13:50:58	BUY	No	0.999	70	$69.93