norealtime
0x56c260b1d44d3a5c05fd01f12b956231e6816219
- Realised P&L
- $228.06
- Volume
- $8.63M
- Markets traded
- 7,878
- Open portfolio
- $50.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,878
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.07at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
- +$56.10at 0.001Will Croatia win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.80at 0.001Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?
- +$19.98at 0.001Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
- +$18.98at 0.001Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 20:04 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 07-24 20:04 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 07-24 16:35 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.0074285714 | $0.26 |
| 07-15 15:13 | Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.139 | $17.38 |
| 07-07 21:52 | Will Félix Auger-Aliassime be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.16 |
| 07-06 15:37 | Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 07-01 06:53 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.031 | $5.81 |
| 06-30 18:49 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.037 | $9.25 |
| 06-29 21:15 | Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.36 |
| 06-28 21:07 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.96 |
| 06-28 20:15 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.48 |
| 06-28 20:13 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.07 |
| 06-28 16:59 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |
| 06-28 15:57 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 06-28 15:57 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.40 |