Superbigote
0x746002dd2a99c5773d3c321ef23e1c29e0fa31e8
- Realised P&L
- $-2.7k
- Volume
- $87.9k
- Markets traded
- 127
- Open portfolio
- $4.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded127
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.142Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on August 27?
- +$1.3kat 0.612Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$447.26at 0.183Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$316.09at 0.101Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$217.75at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999934 | $25.00 |
| 09-02 18:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5030671058 | $320.00 |
| 08-30 10:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $25.48 |
| 08-30 10:48 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 10:47 | Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 10:47 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0078276953 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 10:47 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0096120206 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 10:47 | Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0075737494 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 10:47 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0078008954 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 10:47 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0034222061 | $3.00 |
| 08-29 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $66.19 |
| 08-29 20:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 08-29 20:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $25.49 |
| 08-29 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $40.00 |
| 08-29 20:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $40.00 |