0xBd1a51A2bd06E3DDC017c10Af5f2880ebFE15375-1776897200379
0xbd1a51a2bd06e3ddc017c10af5f2880ebfe15375
- Realised P&L
- $111.82
- Volume
- $53.6k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $17.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.57at 0.308Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
- +$106.61at 0.266Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$71.69at 0.068Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$50.45at 0.197Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$43.96at 0.144Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omega
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 17:19 | Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Liquid (BO5) - VCT EMEA Playoffs | BUY | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 22:32 | Valorant: NRG vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.0805 | $8.05 |
| 08-20 22:43 | Valorant: Sentinels vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In | SELL | 0.021 | $1.21 |
| 08-18 18:23 | Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.04 | $10.13 |
| 08-17 02:46 | Valorant: Cloud9 vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-14 01:23 | Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In | SELL | 0.32 | $27.10 |
| 08-14 01:11 | Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In | BUY | 0.0432276657 | $3.00 |
| 08-13 23:15 | Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In | SELL | 0.05 | $2.50 |
| 08-09 22:09 | Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha | BUY | 0.025 | $0.92 |
| 08-09 22:03 | Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha | BUY | 0.045999957 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 20:03 | Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 08-09 19:56 | Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 19:56 | Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0029999994 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 19:56 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0048509927 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 19:56 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0209999958 | $5.00 |