Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.19. up 0.07 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.11 to 0.23. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	40	40
0.25	20	60
0.33	50	110
0.43	22	132
0.70	20	152
0.71	10	162
0.72	20	182
0.80	20	202
0.90	12	214
0.91	20	234
0.97	20	254
0.98	30	284

Spread0.10Mid0.19

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	40	40
0.11	23	63
0.10	65	128
0.09	50	178
0.08	15	193
0.07	134	327
0.06	214	541
0.05	30	571
0.04	520	1,091
0.03	758	1,849
0.02	1,286	3,134
0.01	1,273	4,408

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	40	40
0.89	23	63
0.90	65	128
0.91	50	178
0.92	15	193
0.93	134	327
0.94	214	541
0.95	30	571
0.96	520	1,091
0.97	758	1,849
0.98	1,286	3,134
0.99	1,273	4,408

Spread0.10Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	40	40
0.75	20	60
0.67	50	110
0.57	22	132
0.30	20	152
0.29	10	162
0.28	20	182
0.20	20	202
0.10	12	214
0.09	20	234
0.03	20	254
0.02	30	284

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
KimJonEn	Yes	1,646.41
Hakei.	Yes	1,307.46
thursdays	Yes	1,133.54
ikengard	Yes	889.12
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	811.61
knowerofmarkets	Yes	800
cat6767	Yes	507.43
0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710	Yes	303.72
tj9	Yes	256.41
Rumpelstiltskin	Yes	219.3
drizzl	Yes	217
MechaHitlah	Yes	200
CompulsiveGambler	Yes	200
kackwurst	Yes	195.08
1111opoo	Yes	142.05
gummy-usb	Yes	135
0x765f…1508	Yes	106.32
0x14117f3428c9Fc84b57cF7961b5e9E5F6Dce2410-1773994627349	Yes	100
Redgoldsnapper	Yes	100
rocky42001	Yes	82.94

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:38:18	BUY	Yes	0.12	40	$4.80
03:51:30	SELL	Yes	0.16	11	$1.73
03:51:28	BUY	No	0.85	101	$85.51
03:50:39	BUY	Yes	0.1699999983	29	$5.00
18:14:43	BUY	Yes	0.16	5	$0.80
22:49:01	SELL	No	0.79	40	$31.60
00:41:40	BUY	Yes	0.17	24	$4.13
00:21:19	SELL	No	0.83	38	$31.52
00:21:19	SELL	No	0.83	63	$52.06
00:18:01	BUY	No	0.8	70	$56.00
21:03:19	BUY	No	0.7899999998	63	$49.55
20:23:15	BUY	No	0.7899999953	38	$30.01
20:05:25	BUY	No	0.79	94	$74.41
17:15:22	SELL	No	0.8505111111	180	$153.09
11:12:12	BUY	Yes	0.13	51	$6.63
06:39:01	BUY	Yes	0.12	16	$1.92
06:33:34	BUY	Yes	0.13	24	$3.12
00:34:43	SELL	Yes	0.13	20	$2.60
00:21:04	SELL	Yes	0.14	20	$2.80
00:21:01	SELL	Yes	0.15	26	$3.87
00:20:58	BUY	No	0.83	100	$83.00
04:30:34	BUY	No	0.8299999781	6	$4.92
04:13:45	BUY	Yes	0.16	60	$9.60
23:03:48	SELL	No	0.84	40	$33.60
23:03:46	SELL	No	0.85	20	$17.00