Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Resolves by: https://lmarena.ai/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.45. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.34. Range 0.21 to 0.54. 143 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	217	217
0.71	10	227
0.85	766	993
0.86	30	1,023
0.88	6	1,029
0.89	40	1,069
0.90	5	1,075
0.91	40	1,115
0.95	5	1,120
0.96	5	1,125
0.97	6	1,130
0.98	419	1,549

Spread0.11Mid0.45

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	8	8
0.38	31	39
0.36	6	45
0.35	7	52
0.25	45	97
0.24	50	147
0.23	121	267
0.14	30	297
0.13	40	337
0.12	340	677
0.09	6	683
0.08	40	723

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	8	8
0.62	31	39
0.64	6	45
0.65	7	52
0.75	45	97
0.76	50	147
0.77	121	267
0.86	30	297
0.87	40	337
0.88	340	677
0.91	6	683
0.92	40	723

Spread0.11Mid0.55

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	217	217
0.29	10	227
0.15	766	993
0.14	30	1,023
0.12	6	1,029
0.11	40	1,069
0.10	5	1,075
0.09	40	1,115
0.05	5	1,120
0.04	5	1,125
0.03	6	1,130
0.02	419	1,549

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
KimJonEn	Yes	1,317.01
Hakei.	Yes	1,307.46
thursdays	Yes	1,133.54
ikengard	Yes	889.12
knowerofmarkets	Yes	800
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	790.15
conherence	Yes	645.79
dedidanc	Yes	322.21
tj9	Yes	256.41
Rumpelstiltskin	Yes	219.3
drizzl	Yes	217
MechaHitlah	Yes	200
kackwurst	Yes	195.08
1111opoo	Yes	142.05
gummy-usb	Yes	135
0x765f…1508	Yes	106.32
0x72727f158295dCA92Da2e71F406399D1CB351A25-1783215702812	Yes	102.11
Redgoldsnapper	Yes	100
rocky42001	Yes	82.94
0x40003eB8d363112EC153864830EDb3B1bb17E9d3-1765366340634	Yes	79.45

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
17:53:49	BUY	Yes	0.48	5	$2.40
17:53:37	BUY	Yes	0.48	10	$4.80
17:52:57	BUY	Yes	0.48	10	$4.80
17:52:55	BUY	Yes	0.48	10	$4.80
17:52:18	BUY	Yes	0.48	10	$4.80
17:00:33	BUY	Yes	0.4799999757	13	$6.31
12:12:06	BUY	No	0.6099998483	3	$1.97
07:01:51	BUY	Yes	0.53	6	$3.18
04:59:07	BUY	Yes	0.53	6	$3.18
04:59:04	BUY	Yes	0.4985709796	58	$28.80
20:34:58	BUY	Yes	0.5299999976	102	$54.12
21:58:30	BUY	Yes	0.44	16	$7.04
21:48:28	BUY	Yes	0.43	34	$14.62
21:46:28	BUY	Yes	0.46	6	$2.76
14:49:22	SELL	Yes	0.3519747475	99	$34.85
13:15:04	SELL	Yes	0.42	26	$11.03
12:58:22	SELL	Yes	0.4	4	$1.42
11:29:25	SELL	Yes	0.33	2	$0.81
07:58:29	SELL	Yes	0.4	48	$19.34
07:33:08	SELL	Yes	0.4	7	$2.66
07:30:56	SELL	Yes	0.4	5	$2.00
07:29:52	SELL	Yes	0.39	15	$5.66
07:27:25	SELL	Yes	0.33	25	$8.25
07:24:46	SELL	Yes	0.33	5	$1.65
07:05:25	BUY	Yes	0.3	0	$0.07