MechaHitlah
0x4dc2ce59c39f7ca8155c88e88a635f0034d60933
- Realised P&L
- $13.2k
- Volume
- $761.8k
- Markets traded
- 524
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded524
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.477Europa League Final: 3+ goals?
- +$2.4kat 0.699Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
- +$2.0kat 0.750Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$2.0kat 0.314Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Portuguese presidential election be between 50% and 52%?
- +$1.5kat 0.694Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 23:38 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? | SELL | 0.49 | $2.4k |
| 06-07 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 06-07 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 06-07 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999979 | $30.00 |
| 06-07 12:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999972 | $30.00 |
| 06-04 03:32 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.7561031111 | $127.59 |
| 06-04 03:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $197.99 |
| 05-30 18:40 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.48 | $3.7k |
| 05-30 18:39 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.49 | $669.55 |
| 05-27 12:23 | Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9831805556 | $141.58 |
| 05-06 18:07 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.59 | $767.00 |
| 05-06 14:31 | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.59 | $236.00 |
| 05-06 14:30 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.996 | $137.91 |
| 05-06 14:30 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | SELL | 0.59 | $29.50 |
| 05-06 14:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $15.54 |