PolyBot

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Traders

MechaHitlah

0x4dc2ce59c39f7ca8155c88e88a635f0034d60933

Realised P&L
$13.2k
Volume
$761.8k
Markets traded
524
Open portfolio
$6.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded524
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8180.935$6.3k+$780.66
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · Yes0.4200.205$41.00$43.00
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.2690.000$0.00$93.44
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? · Yes0.8100.000$0.00$32.40
Will "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? · No0.9020.000$0.00$5.3k
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET · Up0.5300.000$0.00$30.00
Will SpaceX have 14 or more launches in May? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$55.21
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · No0.6100.000$0.00$8.36
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? · Yes0.8450.000$0.00$2.6k
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$4.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-03 23:38Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?SELL0.49$2.4k
06-07 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.5199999813$10.00
06-07 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.5199999979$30.00
06-07 12:24Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.5199999979$30.00
06-07 12:18Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY0.5299999972$30.00
06-04 03:32Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?SELL0.7561031111$127.59
06-04 03:32Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.66$197.99
05-30 18:40Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.48$3.7k
05-30 18:39Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.49$669.55
05-27 12:23Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?SELL0.9831805556$141.58
05-06 18:07Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.59$767.00
05-06 14:31Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.59$236.00
05-06 14:30Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.996$137.91
05-06 14:30Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?SELL0.59$29.50
05-06 14:29Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.74$15.54