PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tj9

0x08f5165fc4daf68a49bf6d84e5e05c981b4828e0

Realised P&L
$829.86
Volume
$111.0k
Markets traded
200
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded200
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8480.977$230.30+$30.30
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2030.183$180.59−$19.41
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4100.715$174.39+$74.39
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.009$129.28−$82.94
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · Yes0.7800.445$114.10−$85.90
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? · No0.8100.885$109.26+$9.26
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0290.041$68.43+$18.43
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · Yes0.0870.051$20.60−$14.40
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? · Yes0.3800.076$20.11−$79.89
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2140.029$17.88−$116.12
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0430.015$17.40−$34.20
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.4300.029$3.54−$48.06
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims) · Geoff Neal0.6600.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 16:01US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?BUY0.8099999942$100.00
10-29 16:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9789999997$200.00
10-04 23:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5?BUY0.9899999976$400.00
10-04 22:38Lions vs. PanthersBUY0.6599999979$100.00
08-12 14:55US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.4455445504$50.00
08-12 14:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.689999999$100.00
08-12 14:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?BUY0.993$700.00
08-10 15:33US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?BUY0.994$500.00
07-01 16:03Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7599999985$100.00
07-01 16:02Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2032279304$200.00
06-19 20:35Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6667685056$200.00
06-19 19:24Will United States win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.8199999993$200.00
06-15 18:47Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5BUY0.1399999973$40.00
06-15 02:50UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.7799999995$100.00
06-15 01:49UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.8099999993$100.00