PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tj9

0x08f5165fc4daf68a49bf6d84e5e05c981b4828e0

Realised P&L
$540.00
Volume
$109.0k
Markets traded
192
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded192
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.017$250.96+$38.74
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8480.960$226.29+$26.29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2030.207$204.20+$4.21
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4100.445$108.54+$8.54
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0290.048$80.26+$30.26
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · Yes0.7800.185$47.44$152.56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2140.055$34.50$99.50
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0430.024$28.20$23.40
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? · Yes0.3800.105$27.61$72.39
Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027? · Yes0.0870.055$22.00$13.00
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.4300.175$21.00$30.60
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims) · Geoff Neal0.6600.000$0.00$100.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes0.0310.000$0.00$15.00
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverines · Michigan Wolverines0.5290.000$0.00$142.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-01 16:03Will England win on 2026-07-01?BUY0.7599999985$100.00
07-01 16:02Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2032279304$200.00
06-19 20:35Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6667685056$200.00
06-19 19:24Will United States win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.8199999993$200.00
06-15 18:47Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5BUY0.1399999973$40.00
06-15 02:50UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.7799999995$100.00
06-15 01:49UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.8099999993$100.00
06-15 01:48UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5099999985$100.00
06-13 21:03Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?BUY0.9298259169$500.00
06-13 21:01Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.5899999991$100.00
06-13 01:31Will United States win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.75$100.00
05-04 14:45Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 4?BUY0.9909751987$300.00
04-27 12:25Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 27?BUY0.999$999.86
04-19 15:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 19?BUY0.8999999959$197.12
04-19 15:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2199999968$50.00