kackwurst
0x539cfcd80bb86fd078e84431e00e56c3eda41ad3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $39.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-80.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · Yes | 0.768 | 0.205 | $39.99 | −$109.92 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$990.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-27 20:12 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $990.00 |
| 02-15 02:51 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | BUY | 0.7684621521 | $149.91 |