1111opoo
0x9eea2ca393f3b472ff4f8be0849187d4df41c01a
- Realised P&L
- $-113.16
- Volume
- $829.58
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $37.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · Yes | 0.663 | 0.205 | $29.12 | −$65.06 |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.270 | $4.50 | −$5.50 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.165 | $3.44 | −$6.56 |
| Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.35 |
| Blackhawks vs. Devils · Blackhawks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Sharks vs. Blues · Sharks | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.75at 0.770Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$13.86at 0.400Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?
- +$8.14at 0.550AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 2.5
- +$6.67at 0.600EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$0.71at 0.850O/U 0.5 Rounds
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-20 20:41 | EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 10:09 | Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3995658579 | $9.22 |
| 03-20 09:09 | Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 08:18 | Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 03-20 07:31 | Blackhawks vs. Devils | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 22:18 | AC Sparta Praha vs. AZ: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 03-19 21:49 | Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 03-19 19:19 | Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.432 | $1.11 |
| 03-19 16:48 | AFC Unirea Slobozia vs. ASC Oțelul Galați: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 03-19 09:57 | Paris FC vs. Le Havre AC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.5 | $9.44 |
| 03-19 09:57 | RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. HNK Rijeka: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.45 | $9.78 |
| 03-19 09:57 | Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-21? | SELL | 0.53 | $9.47 |
| 03-19 09:57 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.61 | $9.68 |
| 03-19 09:55 | Will John Shulli be the Republican nominee for Senate in Delaware? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.89 |
| 03-19 09:41 | Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-03-21? | BUY | 0.56 | $10.00 |