0x765fa4c18dd7c3607cdcee7a87681747c2d51508
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $4.66M
- Markets traded
- 2,453
- Open portfolio
- $574.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,453
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.365Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14.5m?
- +$7.9kat 0.125Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
- +$7.1kat 0.221Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m?
- +$6.2kat 0.639Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?
- +$5.4kat 0.480Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:18 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.06 |
| 09-17 17:24 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.6799999976 | $11.14 |
| 09-17 06:20 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.6599998533 | $1.08 |
| 09-17 04:31 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.419999843 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4299998433 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4299998433 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4299998433 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? | BUY | 0.3099999926 | $9.65 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4299998433 | $1.07 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? | BUY | 0.3099999657 | $2.35 |
| 09-17 04:11 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.429999964 | $4.78 |
| 09-10 00:50 | Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August? | BUY | 0.4799999282 | $1.07 |
| 09-09 22:11 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.3699999862 | $1.07 |
| 09-09 22:11 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August? | BUY | 0.5299998247 | $1.30 |
| 09-09 22:11 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.3699999862 | $1.07 |