PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x765fa4c18dd7c3607cdcee7a87681747c2d51508

Realised P&L
$-5.3k
Volume
$4.66M
Markets traded
2,453
Open portfolio
$574.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,453
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.8350.825$112.06$1.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September? · No0.7700.835$108.12+$8.42
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · No0.6300.635$100.49+$0.79
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.7530.295$70.91$110.05
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8920.525$45.14$31.55
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · Yes0.6200.205$32.96$66.73
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? · No0.6900.495$23.91$9.41
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.2050.615$15.87+$10.58
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? · Yes0.4690.145$15.42$34.48
Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? · Yes0.6780.690$12.43+$0.21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · Yes0.4300.105$12.17$37.68
Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? · Yes0.4290.450$10.63+$0.50
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September? · Yes0.3100.185$7.16$4.84
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%? · No0.7000.925$5.95+$1.45
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? · Yes0.2050.195$1.16$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 18:18Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?BUY0.2$1.06
09-17 17:24Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?BUY0.6799999976$11.14
09-17 06:20Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August?BUY0.6599998533$1.08
09-17 04:31Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.419999843$1.07
09-17 04:11Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.4299998433$1.07
09-17 04:11Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.4299998433$1.07
09-17 04:11Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.4299998433$1.07
09-17 04:11Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?BUY0.3099999926$9.65
09-17 04:11Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.4299998433$1.07
09-17 04:11Will annual inflation be 3.5% in September?BUY0.3099999657$2.35
09-17 04:11Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September?BUY0.429999964$4.78
09-10 00:50Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?BUY0.4799999282$1.07
09-09 22:11Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?BUY0.3699999862$1.07
09-09 22:11Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?BUY0.5299998247$1.30
09-09 22:11Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in August?BUY0.3699999862$1.07