PolyBot

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Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.008. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.015. Range 0.008 to 0.015. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01055
0.0115762
0.012363425
0.025150575
0.02610585
0.03330615
0.03587702
0.039200902
0.04116918
0.04246964
0.0461631,127
0.0493001,427

Spread0.004Mid0.008

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006486486
0.0053,4533,939
0.0031504,089
0.0022,4956,584
0.0014,59411,178

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994486486
0.9953,4533,939
0.9971504,089
0.9982,4956,584
0.9994,59411,178

Spread0.004Mid0.992

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99055
0.9895762
0.988363425
0.975150575
0.97410585
0.96730615
0.96587702
0.961200902
0.95916918
0.95846964
0.9541631,127
0.9513001,427

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Slenderman-819Yes6,547.27
occasionalAwarenessYes2,444.47
planktonXDYes2,213.85
JordanMooneyYes1,377.66
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes1,235
OndraYes1,016.45
shriks76Yes681.93
Tee1000Yes584.99
crossFiterYes562.09
xtxpleasecallmeYes556.44
LornaPredictsYes534.14
2kparabellumYes500.4
0xC1d03D0fEdD3bA412E12079E1391D87624CE4afc-1770329461329Yes393.39
S888Yes337.04
GingerMcKennaYes301.16
thecaricatureYes300
kamthemanYes280.32
0xb315D3F3bF6a43583c8B101e7bCB8661430D92E1-1765629171417Yes250
calm.rabbitYes216.66
0xE7976a15F301d6895e0B57B88a3bAf04f940b258-1764294403446Yes214.29

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:39:42BUYNo0.993904996220$218.65
14:39:42BUYNo0.99320$19.86
10:37:12BUYNo0.99544$43.57
23:00:43BUYNo0.99550$49.75
19:29:25BUYNo0.99550$49.75
12:36:43BUYNo0.99590$90.00
12:36:40BUYNo0.99510$9.95
12:36:40BUYNo0.9959$8.95
12:36:40BUYNo0.99510$9.95
09:07:41BUYNo0.99520$19.90
07:09:25BUYNo0.99530$29.85
20:51:37BUYNo0.9952$1.52
20:51:37BUYNo0.99532$31.36
20:51:37BUYNo0.99530$29.85
17:27:11BUYNo0.99518$17.91
14:04:49BUYNo0.99530$29.85
10:46:07BUYNo0.99530$29.85
09:16:13BUYNo0.99530$29.85
17:24:45BUYNo0.99515$15.12
05:31:42BUYNo0.99550$49.75
15:39:18BUYNo0.99540$39.80
15:05:17BUYNo0.99440$39.76
15:01:54BUYNo0.99450$49.70
15:00:29BUYNo0.99440$39.76
15:00:21BUYNo0.99440$39.76