0xE7976a15F301d6895e0B57B88a3bAf04f940b258-1764294403446
0xe7976a15f301d6895e0b57b88a3baf04f940b258
- Realised P&L
- $3.7k
- Volume
- $52.5k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $8.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.715 | $5.96 | +$0.96 |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.007 | $1.61 | −$0.39 |
| Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.015 | $0.69 | −$1.31 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.113Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$634.39at 0.191Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$371.25at 0.027Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$4.99at 0.500Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H Moneyline
- +$3.18at 0.659Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:48 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 16:45 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 16:43 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.0209999958 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 18:23 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0309541231 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 18:23 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0143450879 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 02:58 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999983 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 02:58 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0539999901 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 00:29 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014999997 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 00:29 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0539999901 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 15:31 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0539999731 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 04:16 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 04:15 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 03:28 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |
| 06-17 03:28 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999831 | $3.00 |
| 06-08 19:04 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.13 |