Slenderman-819
0x5c9322a13f3ed27cd1fe4a2f9ca8732499e9d15c
- Realised P&L
- $-11.7k
- Volume
- $135.6k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $23.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.007 | $23.53 | +$5.79 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 22-28? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$324.45at 0.050Will Bitcoin dip to $110k August 18–24?
- +$226.52at 0.188Will turnout be between 78% and 81% in the Netherlands Parliamentary Election 2025?
- +$49.80at 0.220Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$38.52at 0.390Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$26.32at 0.080Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 05:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.009 | $4.50 |
| 06-24 05:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.009 | $8.10 |
| 06-24 05:39 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.20 |
| 06-24 05:38 | Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? | BUY | 0.0080871129 | $18.53 |
| 06-24 05:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 22-28? | BUY | 0.0067614937 | $1.15 |
| 06-24 05:31 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0077307251 | $5.86 |
| 12-15 10:08 | Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | BUY | 0.005 | $3.56 |
| 12-11 14:19 | Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | BUY | 0.0055710544 | $46.26 |
| 11-05 15:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6? | BUY | 0.034 | $33.71 |
| 11-05 08:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6? | BUY | 0.121935359 | $25.20 |
| 11-04 18:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6? | SELL | 0.274 | $6.13 |
| 11-04 14:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 6? | BUY | 0.096 | $2.15 |
| 11-04 14:41 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first? | BUY | 0.82 | $10.66 |
| 11-04 14:36 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first? | BUY | 0.81 | $34.02 |
| 11-02 16:37 | Will Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | BUY | 0.009 | $7.82 |