PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

kamtheman

0xed1a0d5fec73f011111239da720831e2c8a86c60

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$212.1k
Markets traded
461
Open portfolio
$60.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded461
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 17:30Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.003$0.78
09-14 17:29Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.023$3.15
09-14 17:28Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-14 17:26Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.069999999$2.00
09-14 17:26Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?BUY0.013$1.00
09-14 17:24Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
09-14 17:23Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.1499999925$2.00
09-14 17:23Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.0589999996$3.00
07-21 18:47Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
07-21 18:46Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.008999991$1.00
07-21 18:45Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.002999997$1.00
07-21 18:41Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.846$4.69
05-18 03:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?BUY0.007$2.00
05-18 03:43Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?BUY0.027$2.00
05-18 03:42Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?BUY0.0459999894$4.00