kamtheman
0xed1a0d5fec73f011111239da720831e2c8a86c60
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $211.5k
- Markets traded
- 455
- Open portfolio
- $77.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded455
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$705.97at 0.064Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$106.47at 0.090Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$85.16at 0.146Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$63.79at 0.270Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$49.42at 0.595Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 18:47 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 18:46 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 18:45 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 18:41 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.846 | $4.69 |
| 05-18 03:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 03:43 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 03:42 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.0459999894 | $4.00 |
| 05-14 17:37 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.48 |
| 05-14 17:37 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.011 | $1.59 |
| 05-14 17:36 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.85 |
| 05-14 17:30 | Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30? | SELL | 0.5 | $4.22 |
| 05-14 17:29 | Will Trump say "Great Wall" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 17:29 | Will Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 17:29 | Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.167441797 | $2.00 |
| 05-14 17:28 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping? | BUY | 0.4072847633 | $42.00 |