kamtheman
0xed1a0d5fec73f011111239da720831e2c8a86c60
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $212.1k
- Markets traded
- 461
- Open portfolio
- $60.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded461
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$705.98at 0.064Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$106.47at 0.090Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
- +$85.17at 0.146Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$63.79at 0.270Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$49.42at 0.595Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:30 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.78 |
| 09-14 17:29 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.023 | $3.15 |
| 09-14 17:28 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:26 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 17:26 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:24 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 17:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 17:23 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.0589999996 | $3.00 |
| 07-21 18:47 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 18:46 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 18:45 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 18:41 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.846 | $4.69 |
| 05-18 03:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? | BUY | 0.007 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 03:43 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31? | BUY | 0.027 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 03:42 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | BUY | 0.0459999894 | $4.00 |