PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC1d03D0fEdD3bA412E12079E1391D87624CE4afc-1770329461329

0xc1d03d0fedd3ba412e12079e1391d87624ce4afc

Realised P&L
$125.43
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$34.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · Yes0.1500.325$21.67+$11.67
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2300.095$9.50$13.50
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0380.007$2.95$12.05
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting? · Yes0.0750.000$0.00$10.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$10.00
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.3430.000$0.00$20.74
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0770.000$0.00$5.00
France vs. England: Team to Win · France0.2900.000$0.00$10.00
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 17:40Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0773021548$5.00
07-19 17:38World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?BUY0.005$5.00
07-19 17:36Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.078999993$10.00
07-18 21:42France vs. England: Team to WinSELL0.91$12.46
07-18 21:29France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.2899999846$10.00
07-18 21:28France vs. England: Team to WinBUY0.7299999876$10.00
04-15 06:04Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?SELL0.17$17.00
04-09 14:06Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.0381304703$15.00
04-07 21:50Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1584158416$9.16
04-03 21:19Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the April Meeting?BUY0.0754716981$10.00
04-03 21:18Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?BUY0.29$29.00
03-01 14:37Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?SELL0.8832464262$93.30
02-17 20:34Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
02-06 23:48Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY0.29999997$5.00
02-06 23:42Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$6.00