PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.201. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.196. Range 0.167 to 0.252. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2016060
0.2031676
0.209110186
0.2101,3591,545
0.2111,0242,569
0.2122512,819
0.2131002,919
0.217813,001
0.218963,097
0.2201003,197
0.2217063,903
0.2231214,023

Spread0.001Mid0.201

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.20066
0.192154160
0.1911,3701,530
0.1902,4013,931
0.184123,943
0.183503,993
0.1824,6078,600
0.18110,67819,278
0.18014,78934,067
0.1754,00038,067
0.1739638,163
0.17277338,936

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.80066
0.808154160
0.8091,3701,530
0.8102,4013,931
0.816123,943
0.817503,993
0.8184,6078,600
0.81910,67819,278
0.82014,78934,067
0.8254,00038,067
0.8279638,163
0.82877338,936

Spread0.001Mid0.800

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7996060
0.7971676
0.791110186
0.7901,3591,545
0.7891,0242,569
0.7882512,819
0.7871002,919
0.783813,001
0.782963,097
0.7801003,197
0.7797063,903
0.7771214,023

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Contentious-DinnerdateYes11,110
lennystYes10,650.63
balthazarYes6,012.39
m3t64 - 815Yes4,713.31
Optionsguru18Yes4,100
Username2133Yes4,000
XenyYes3,784.76
DancewithRiskYes3,601.87
GdubYes3,499.99
DragontreeYes2,938.48
preciseploysYes2,557.17
jadebasiliskYes2,449.99
DEGENKHANYes2,064.06
runitup80Yes2,000
QuarzoYes2,000
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes1,844.11
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702Yes1,769.7
0xD173AB800A5661c1086A2fC2D350300610B71B86-1781278571355Yes1,500
Sylvester.the.CatYes1,000
jwd103103Yes999.94

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:36:33SELLYes0.2104$20.76
20:41:00SELLYes0.190991255689$17.04
20:31:18BUYNo0.8044541485183$147.38
20:29:39BUYNo0.80514$11.59
20:29:39BUYNo0.816$12.80
20:06:06BUYNo0.850$40.00
20:06:06BUYNo0.843$34.71
20:06:04BUYNo0.825$20.00
19:45:12SELLNo0.7860$0.01
19:44:43SELLNo0.7860$0.04
18:21:12SELLYes0.2131657459181$38.58
18:19:46SELLYes0.221137$30.28
18:19:06SELLNo0.7887$5.38
18:18:03SELLNo0.798$6.30
18:18:03SELLNo0.7906327273220$173.94
18:18:03SELLNo0.793100$79.30
18:18:01BUYYes0.1958314094854$167.27
18:18:01BUYYes0.2069999993165$34.15
18:18:00BUYYes0.204412498258$11.85
17:13:06SELLNo0.80811$8.82
17:11:58BUYNo0.80899992911$8.91
17:06:43SELLNo0.8088$6.42
17:06:07BUYNo0.80899997498$6.48
16:51:37SELLNo0.80612$10.00
16:50:37BUYNo0.806999965613$10.10