PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.249. up 0.020 over the period, from 0.230. Range 0.216 to 0.276. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.252112112
0.2539641,076
0.2542,0803,157
0.2558594,016
0.256204,036
0.2573354,370
0.2592204,590
0.2627105,300
0.2632205,520
0.2643885,908
0.2701,4687,377
0.2713,94811,325

Spread0.005Mid0.249

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2473333
0.2412558
0.24080138
0.23955193
0.23840232
0.23740272
0.2362,4382,709
0.2351,2974,007
0.2336814,688
0.2311774,865
0.2291905,055
0.2271665,221

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7533333
0.7592558
0.76080138
0.76155193
0.76240232
0.76340272
0.7642,4382,709
0.7651,2974,007
0.7676814,688
0.7691774,865
0.7711905,055
0.7731665,221

Spread0.005Mid0.750

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.748112112
0.7479641,076
0.7462,0803,157
0.7458594,016
0.744204,036
0.7433354,370
0.7412204,590
0.7387105,300
0.7372205,520
0.7363885,908
0.7301,4687,377
0.7293,94811,325

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
DancewithRiskYes5,308.54
DerDonYes3,948.05
m3t64 - 815Yes2,600.85
suoha518Yes2,595.79
DragontreeYes2,131.81
sldwaYes864
SaldivvaYes766.84
balthazarYes630
TruongMyLanYes621.58
0x9996…bda1Yes581.8
ZeroSigmaYes496.87
HerrieDavisYes473.02
HerozlYes454.14
RumpelstiltskinYes403.45
jwd103103Yes350.69
PrimePenguinYes330.86
DEGENKHANYes304
GaussloisYes255.24
Bet974Yes250.68
molodoyyYes229.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:05:16SELLNo0.7485$3.69
19:46:46SELLNo0.745190$141.55
19:46:18SELLNo0.74543$31.87
19:46:03SELLYes0.2461$0.35
19:46:03SELLYes0.245963100$24.60
19:46:01SELLYes0.25468702582,358$600.55
19:46:01BUYNo0.75216$12.03
19:46:01BUYNo0.74727$20.01
19:46:01BUYNo0.74750$37.35
18:37:12SELLNo0.7330$21.90
13:27:54SELLNo0.7280224375121$87.93
13:27:54SELLNo0.72326$18.80
12:03:19SELLYes0.256350$12.81
12:01:54SELLYes0.2650$0.06
12:01:54SELLYes0.2683864375$100.64
12:01:54BUYNo0.73562$45.57
11:42:51SELLNo0.72131$22.06
11:42:21BUYNo0.7345$3.67
11:37:06SELLNo0.72135100$72.14
11:27:28SELLNo0.7530443038379$285.55
11:27:27SELLNo0.757141$106.59
11:27:25SELLNo0.76750$38.35
11:27:25SELLNo0.760475035136$103.11
11:27:21BUYYes0.23899997555$1.18
11:27:21BUYYes0.23280225592,529$588.65