lennyst
0x00ad89ae6cafe961b7357a778ecd50fd1cf0bac7
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $180.3k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $14.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.114Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$1.7kat 0.531Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$74.68at 0.277Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?
- +$31.79at 0.102Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.5T?
- +$-21.35at 0.059Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 19:56 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.211 | $21.59 |
| 10-24 19:56 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2050107256 | $74.93 |
| 10-24 19:15 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4132756285 | $611.36 |
| 10-24 03:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4642335886 | $686.75 |
| 10-24 03:09 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6379503008 | $493.17 |
| 10-24 03:07 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6904557182 | $695.81 |
| 10-24 03:02 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.3318623571 | $945.95 |
| 10-24 03:02 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3716915357 | $733.35 |
| 10-24 01:29 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.1683333576 | $184.95 |
| 10-24 01:28 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.211758666 | $337.09 |
| 10-24 01:28 | Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T? | SELL | 0.314282525 | $128.10 |
| 10-24 01:27 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.3740624871 | $545.47 |
| 10-22 06:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | SELL | 0.29 | $462.26 |
| 10-21 21:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | SELL | 0.55 | $3.30 |
| 10-21 18:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? | BUY | 0.54 | $864.00 |