preciseploys
0x3492ce2ca069ea864c458137303d87a88bd37f3b
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $69.6k
- Markets traded
- 168
- Open portfolio
- $228.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded168
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.69at 0.632Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on August 20?
- +$22.58at 0.080Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
- +$22.08at 0.330Will Warsh say "Task Force" 5+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$20.77at 0.320Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?
- +$17.29at 0.190Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:34 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-04 22:55 | Will Mauro Mendes win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.88 |
| 10-04 22:55 | Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.9346576619 | $40.13 |
| 10-04 22:55 | Will Reinaldo Azambuja win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election? | BUY | 0.986 | $19.72 |
| 10-04 22:55 | Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | SELL | 0.995 | $39.80 |
| 10-04 21:54 | Will Alexandre Guimarães win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $19.68 |
| 10-04 21:47 | Will Eduardo Gomes win the most votes in the 2026 Tocantins Senate election? | BUY | 0.98 | $14.86 |
| 10-04 21:41 | Will Rose de Freitas win the second-most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election? | BUY | 0.9618308579 | $43.39 |
| 10-04 21:36 | Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.987 | $39.48 |
| 10-04 21:35 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul? | BUY | 0.985 | $49.25 |
| 09-09 17:13 | Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next? | SELL | 0.4 | $6.37 |
| 09-09 15:47 | Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? | SELL | 0.761 | $38.05 |
| 09-09 15:37 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $39.60 |
| 09-09 15:36 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $51.98 |
| 09-09 15:14 | Will the highest score achieved by a Google Gemini model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | SELL | 0.171 | $3.42 |