PolyBot

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Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.17. down 0.04 over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.17 to 0.24. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.172,7992,799
0.181,5354,334
0.191944,528
0.21704,598
0.221784,775
0.23554,830
0.247425,572
0.251,5687,140
0.262887,428
0.27457,473
0.281,0948,567
0.296799,246

Spread0.01Mid0.17

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.162,9772,977
0.151,6804,657
0.147035,361
0.136005,961
0.087506,711
0.072967,006
0.063337,340
0.054007,740
0.043868,126
0.035338,659
0.022508,909
0.015009,409

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.842,9772,977
0.851,6804,657
0.867035,361
0.876005,961
0.927506,711
0.932967,006
0.943337,340
0.954007,740
0.963868,126
0.975338,659
0.982508,909
0.995009,409

Spread0.01Mid0.83

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.832,7992,799
0.821,5354,334
0.811944,528
0.79704,598
0.781784,775
0.77554,830
0.767425,572
0.751,5687,140
0.742887,428
0.73457,473
0.721,0948,567
0.716799,246

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Yes12,120
DancewithRiskYes1,859.65
web2256Yes1,600
0x7658DeEF7475D836F68A1a96AF911B751014E770-1767903778586Yes1,082.62
MaxEntYes999.99
m3t64 - 815Yes926.35
balthazarYes635
HerozlYes618.3
Dr.PNLYes600
LornaPredictsYes478.97
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes250
rocky42011Yes243.18
jwd103103Yes224.21
0x0840F6d2f4C4e625Db8C43B2fd7B0d54678E9746-1781423249299Yes199.99
Tenebrus7Yes191.07
molodoyyYes149.99
GaussloisYes140
Bet974Yes125
delphiloYes117.65
ArmageddonRewardsBillyYes114.5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:36:01SELLYes0.160$0.01
21:35:58BUYYes0.1722$3.74
13:27:54BUYNo0.845$4.24
13:27:54BUYNo0.8412$9.94
13:27:54BUYNo0.849$7.66
13:27:54BUYNo0.8458$48.57
11:42:51BUYNo0.8431$25.70
11:42:21BUYNo0.835$4.15
19:28:06SELLNo0.821$0.77
05:11:39SELLYes0.179$1.48
00:57:22SELLYes0.1740$6.80
16:33:19SELLYes0.1728$4.84
08:20:30SELLYes0.1759$10.03
08:20:28SELLYes0.1710$1.70
14:48:58BUYYes0.18095237416$1.00
11:38:51SELLYes0.160$0.04
10:06:54BUYNo0.841$1.00
10:05:07SELLNo0.815$4.43
10:04:04BUYNo0.83999998545$4.60
10:03:03BUYNo0.828$6.56
10:02:49BUYNo0.8233$26.85
10:02:36SELLYes0.187$1.21
10:02:31BUYNo0.8230$24.60
10:02:28BUYNo0.8215$12.47
10:02:28BUYNo0.8290$73.80