iForgor
0x0562e01b3c3e65bb93bf0de32f02cec238a79d66
- Realised P&L
- $25.1k
- Volume
- $10.06M
- Markets traded
- 1,922
- Open portfolio
- $17.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,922
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.8kat 0.543Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$11.2kat 0.169Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$9.2kat 0.417US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$6.6kat 0.838Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
- +$6.0kat 0.258Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:31 | Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.57 | $84.93 |
| 09-28 01:51 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week? | BUY | 0.8776923077 | $114.10 |
| 09-28 01:51 | Will Trump say "22" this week? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 09-28 01:50 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" this week? | BUY | 0.0710652921 | $10.34 |
| 09-26 01:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $112.32 |
| 09-25 04:30 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 09-25 04:22 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $741.75 |
| 09-25 04:11 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.6299676694 | $319.56 |
| 09-25 04:10 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.3772192513 | $70.54 |
| 09-25 03:52 | Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album? | BUY | 0.5833333333 | $35.00 |
| 09-25 03:45 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $121.70 |
| 09-25 03:14 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $83.33 |
| 09-25 03:07 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $84.70 |
| 09-25 02:23 | Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend? | BUY | 0.6878023563 | $57.21 |
| 09-25 02:22 | Will "Resident Evil" be #1 Box Office this weekend? | BUY | 0.69 | $216.67 |