PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

wakakakakakaka

0xe9c7cffc78c45bc98862180d032028c09f94147a

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$1.71M
Markets traded
680
Open portfolio
$4.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded680
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship? · No0.9250.915$1.7k−$18.87
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · No0.8700.875$1.5k+$8.74
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9850.965$411.08−$8.92
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? · No0.5900.525$325.50−$40.30
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.4100.305$186.05−$64.05
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2190.105$111.49−$121.13
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9400.862$86.20−$7.80
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31? · Yes0.1700.030$2.28−$10.43
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5 · Over0.4000.000$0.00−$8.80
Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · No0.1900.000$0.00−$24.40
Japan vs. Sweden: Draw at halftime? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$12.51
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00−$118.95
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5 · Under0.3800.000$0.00−$8.17
Will France win on 2026-06-16? · No0.3300.000$0.00−$6.97
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$106.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 00:11Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?SELL0.0252416826$34.35
10-28 23:40Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?BUY0.023$8.44
10-28 23:38Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?BUY0.023$11.50
10-28 23:36Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?BUY0.0228966942$11.08
10-28 23:05Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?SELL0.0219244612$29.85
10-13 19:04Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.82$254.44
10-11 08:56Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-11?BUY0.41$195.16
10-10 11:58Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Le Mans FC end in a draw?BUY0.08$5.52
10-10 11:52Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?BUY0.9$552.60
10-10 11:51Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.94$376.00
10-08 23:05Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-10-09?BUY0.9$540.00
10-05 12:03Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?SELL0.3304545455$36.35
10-05 00:06Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.924960148$1.9k
10-04 19:13Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?SELL0.11$49.50
10-04 10:29Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?SELL0.39$53.55