PolyBot

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Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.008. down 0.007 over the period, from 0.015. Range 0.005 to 0.021. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.012155155
0.019150305
0.02030334
0.02242376
0.02420396
0.02635431
0.03723455
0.04578533
0.048100633
0.06289721
0.07560781
0.080120901

Spread0.008Mid0.008

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00466
0.003320326
0.002200526
0.0014,9565,482

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99666
0.997320326
0.998200526
0.9994,9565,482

Spread0.008Mid0.992

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.988155155
0.981150305
0.98030334
0.97842376
0.97620396
0.97435431
0.96323455
0.95578533
0.952100633
0.93889721
0.92560781
0.920120901

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fiterYes2,194.1
NoSteinNoGateYes842.93
0x49F206Yes782
2B9SYes780.66
xtxpleasecallmeYes681.84
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Yes645.95
OndraYes525.99
viniiYes511.78
ZirloYes334
Hugin-og-MuninYes320
0xE85AA0c3D6c0621dd983d92DE5798890b1bA4D2D-1770324012647Yes228.15
ohhhyeahhYes225.29
thecaricatureYes221.32
xyzdfuYes214.34
0x75772c0fad8BB3EeFb12bAe32EeF8a58e7EE8fB9-1771157190403Yes211.76
suntoriYes202.1
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes190
74744886D1081ab236510E04c5b617b914A3Cef7.Yes150.01
BiggggggggYes88.53
SpringlyFawlYes86.59

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:15:18BUYNo0.99630$29.88
07:15:18BUYNo0.99644$43.67
07:15:18BUYNo0.99630$29.88
07:15:18BUYNo0.99610$9.96
07:15:18BUYNo0.99681$80.68
05:04:55BUYNo0.99660$59.76
18:42:16BUYNo0.99640$39.84
18:42:16BUYNo0.99650$49.80
18:42:16BUYNo0.99640$39.84
18:18:10BUYNo0.99632$31.77
18:17:57BUYNo0.99618$17.93
07:55:01BUYNo0.99690$89.64
07:55:00BUYNo0.99630$29.88
07:55:00BUYNo0.99620$19.92
07:55:00BUYNo0.99640$39.65
07:55:00BUYNo0.99630$29.88
02:00:06BUYNo0.99620$19.92
01:59:52BUYNo0.99670$69.72
01:59:39BUYNo0.99616$15.94
19:45:58BUYNo0.99669$69.08
19:45:58BUYNo0.99640$39.84
19:45:58BUYNo0.99630$29.88
16:28:21BUYYes0.007214$1.50
14:08:15BUYNo0.99630$29.88
14:08:15BUYNo0.99630$29.88