Zirlo
0xb7a82656a4a524ee89f4c861ba5c2e2833e9d641
- Realised P&L
- $173.87
- Volume
- $61.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,353
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,353
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.42at 0.398Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
- +$45.87at 0.307Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$38.30at 0.283Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
- +$26.17at 0.437Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$26.06at 0.269Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:41 | Will the Indiana Pacers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? | SELL | 0.45 | $11.25 |
| 11-01 14:41 | Will the New York Knicks be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? | SELL | 0.15 | $16.50 |
| 11-01 03:00 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.19 | $2.85 |
| 10-31 02:47 | Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.10 |
| 10-31 02:46 | Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.241 | $13.98 |
| 10-31 02:00 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.0578947368 | $3.30 |
| 10-31 02:00 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.054 | $1.08 |
| 10-31 01:59 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.052 | $3.64 |
| 10-31 01:59 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.049 | $1.84 |
| 10-31 01:59 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.048 | $1.44 |
| 10-31 01:58 | Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.00T and $2.25T? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.69 |
| 10-31 01:57 | Will Manuel Añorve Baños win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.55 |
| 10-31 01:52 | Magic vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-31 01:51 | Knicks vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 20:04 | Will Paloma Sánchez Ramos win the 2027 Sinaloa Governor Election? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.20 |