0xE85AA0c3D6c0621dd983d92DE5798890b1bA4D2D-1770324012647
0xe85aa0c3d6c0621dd983d92de5798890b1ba4d2d
- Realised P&L
- $86.75
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $67.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.80at 0.184Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?
- +$26.25at 0.160Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$24.46at 0.173Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$16.10at 0.237Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
- +$15.42at 0.393Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 21:09 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.1111111111 | $5.00 |
| 09-23 21:07 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3689320274 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 11:13 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.708763739 | $30.00 |
| 09-08 06:36 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-08 06:31 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 13:10 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $15.00 |
| 09-06 13:06 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $62.35 |
| 08-21 17:02 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 17:01 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 16:54 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1741654448 | $10.00 |
| 08-21 16:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 21:26 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.3499999562 | $4.00 |
| 07-02 18:34 | Will Austria win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.082499963 | $2.00 |
| 07-02 18:34 | Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1849999385 | $2.00 |
| 06-22 08:54 | Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |