Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.93. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.82. Range 0.80 to 0.93. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.94	428	428
0.95	542	970
0.96	1,362	2,332
0.97	1,336	3,668
0.98	549	4,217
0.99	12,896	17,113

Spread0.02Mid0.93

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.92	229	229
0.91	571	799
0.90	54	854
0.89	200	1,054
0.87	50	1,104
0.85	40	1,144
0.83	226	1,369
0.81	100	1,469
0.76	20	1,489
0.75	30	1,519
0.41	20	1,539
0.07	1,488	3,027

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.08	229	229
0.09	571	799
0.10	54	854
0.11	200	1,054
0.13	50	1,104
0.15	40	1,144
0.17	226	1,369
0.19	100	1,469
0.24	20	1,489
0.25	30	1,519
0.59	20	1,539
0.93	1,488	3,027

Spread0.02Mid0.07

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.06	428	428
0.05	542	970
0.04	1,362	2,332
0.03	1,336	3,668
0.02	549	4,217
0.01	12,896	17,113

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xdC83474BC4CDf4d037f8BE1EcA21cfa290aaBCD2-1772195983959	Yes	1,283.49
0xB52245e13Bb87b4f2db64c13A9F761222E323eBb-1772155836970	Yes	912.12
Contentious-Dinnerdate	Yes	654.63
11B7c7e5D961	Yes	635.88
Blurry-Ball	Yes	549.53
0x427b00C60dC846B7b722AD5168A3892D458026C1-1777368498603	Yes	245.92
2B9S	Yes	202.12
X-Rabbit.Sezu	Yes	100
Banditoes	Yes	100
Mithrandir.	Yes	80
larry-li	Yes	73.73
pykue	Yes	62
robert-mukhametov	Yes	57.15
parameter1	Yes	52.06
memorymaker2049	Yes	50
dadhalfdev	Yes	36.95
donthackme	Yes	33.43
Sheehave	Yes	24.1
sanlitou2026p1	Yes	21.93
doctorno99	Yes	21.08

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:35:37	SELL	No	0.06	136	$8.15
17:15:19	SELL	Yes	0.91	1	$1.02
16:23:39	BUY	Yes	0.93	5	$5.00
15:38:37	SELL	No	0.06	20	$1.20
15:38:24	SELL	No	0.06	22	$1.30
15:38:21	BUY	Yes	0.93	64	$59.18
15:38:19	BUY	Yes	0.91	650	$591.38
15:38:19	BUY	Yes	0.92	20	$18.40
05:10:05	BUY	Yes	0.9099992863	1	$1.02
05:09:17	BUY	Yes	0.9099992702	1	$1.01
05:03:26	BUY	Yes	0.9099992702	1	$1.01
04:59:38	BUY	Yes	0.909999302	1	$1.03
04:55:11	SELL	No	0.09	1	$0.10
04:55:04	BUY	Yes	0.9099999375	1	$1.02
04:51:04	BUY	Yes	0.9099992702	1	$1.01
04:48:07	BUY	Yes	0.9099992863	1	$1.02
04:47:46	BUY	Yes	0.9099992702	1	$1.01
04:40:04	BUY	No	0.0996990385	208	$20.74
04:40:04	BUY	No	0.1	72	$7.20
04:39:31	BUY	Yes	0.9199999643	1	$1.03
04:39:05	BUY	Yes	0.9199999643	1	$1.03
04:30:23	BUY	Yes	0.9199999639	1	$1.02
04:28:58	BUY	Yes	0.92	1	$1.04
04:27:05	BUY	Yes	0.92	1	$1.13
04:19:50	BUY	Yes	0.9199999643	1	$1.03