0xB52245e13Bb87b4f2db64c13A9F761222E323eBb-1772155836970
0xb52245e13bb87b4f2db64c13a9f761222e323ebb
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $148.2k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.757 | 0.875 | $3.5k | +$465.81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.619 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.544 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.588Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$552.88at 0.942Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$431.45at 0.876Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$171.17at 0.854Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$107.45at 0.614Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the top AI model on April 24, 2026 (Style Control On)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 01:36 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7458418091 | $600.00 |
| 09-08 23:17 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999994 | $200.00 |
| 09-06 17:45 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.7294855666 | $500.00 |
| 09-06 17:45 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6956687084 | $500.00 |
| 09-04 04:33 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.6772065826 | $2.3k |
| 09-04 02:36 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.7282693636 | $4.6k |
| 09-02 15:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9088938223 | $1.8k |
| 09-02 07:16 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8266566592 | $600.00 |
| 09-02 07:15 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.9074297053 | $600.00 |
| 09-01 06:21 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8013700883 | $600.00 |
| 09-01 06:21 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $6.0k |
| 09-01 06:20 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.8708942202 | $600.00 |
| 08-25 09:55 | Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9739999998 | $100.00 |
| 08-13 01:44 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.645373195 | $507.73 |
| 08-04 05:40 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.4182347183 | $71.29 |