PolyBot

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Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.171. down 0.684 over the period, from 0.855. Range 0.071 to 0.855. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2751010
0.2763343
0.2805295
0.46710105
0.46814119
0.4906125
0.52430155
0.52533188
0.55420208
0.55539247
0.57620267
0.62220287

Spread0.119Mid0.216

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1561010
0.1191020
0.1184767
0.1081077
0.1062097
0.104100197
0.101495693
0.10021714
0.0904241,138
0.0201001,238
0.0051101,348
0.004751,423

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8441010
0.8811020
0.8824767
0.8921077
0.8942097
0.896100197
0.899495693
0.90021714
0.9104241,138
0.9801001,238
0.9951101,348
0.996751,423

Spread0.119Mid0.784

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7251010
0.7243343
0.7205295
0.53310105
0.53214119
0.5106125
0.47630155
0.47533188
0.44620208
0.44539247
0.42420267
0.37820287

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x241F...e15aYes1,999.99
vtxYes1,699.99
grinder1011Yes769.85
balthazarYes450.03
LornaPredictsYes283.87
Dr.PNLYes283.38
hfvYes252.71
chaosj88Yes173.63
0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951Yes113.64
X-Rabbit.SezuYes100.31
tradetosurvive1Yes92.1
HaradwaithYes71.42
GuyFromTinderYes58.71
MajasYes40
pootytherewardfarmerYes40
tywwetherididiYes36
gfdgfvfvssddYes20
0x7c2763161E569e34432C2eEFF1A73d306FAe6e68-1770366654818Yes18.44
0xwordjnnYes10.45
BiggggggggYes9.88

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:42:18BUYYes0.19299998710$2.00
03:28:29SELLNo0.764142857170$53.49
03:12:32BUYYes0.1324657742290$38.39
03:09:20BUYYes0.12640$5.04
02:45:36BUYYes0.124104$12.85
02:32:17BUYYes0.1319999996114$15.00
02:32:17SELLYes0.131132$17.23
02:32:03BUYYes0.13230$3.96
00:22:48SELLYes0.1314$0.49
00:21:47BUYNo0.8675$4.33
23:22:44BUYYes0.15350$7.70
22:55:41SELLYes0.09013383375$6.73
22:55:39SELLNo0.9171486258284$260.29
22:42:21SELLNo0.93328$25.91
22:03:29BUYYes0.12818$2.36
21:46:00BUYYes0.02173$1.53
21:28:29SELLYes0.08912$1.07
21:12:41BUYNo0.9678263704135$130.66
21:12:41BUYNo0.979658638140$136.66
21:10:33BUYYes0.1816$2.88
21:10:33BUYYes0.17237580$13.79
20:49:05SELLNo0.734166666760$44.05
20:47:32BUYYes0.0497289459369$18.35
20:46:11SELLYes0.0440$1.60
20:43:39BUYYes0.110$1.00