0x7c2763161E569e34432C2eEFF1A73d306FAe6e68-1770366654818
0x7c2763161e569e34432c2eeff1a73d306fae6e68
- Realised P&L
- $22.13
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $44.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.90at 0.255Will Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$85.92at 0.368Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
- +$49.70at 0.287Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$47.00at 0.298Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?
- +$22.26at 0.310US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-20 13:58 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.993 | $38.19 |
| 07-07 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8? | SELL | 0.1737272006 | $8.76 |
| 07-07 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8? | BUY | 0.1982553529 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 13:29 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | SELL | 0.07 | $8.75 |
| 07-07 13:28 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.6499999987 | $25.00 |
| 07-07 13:25 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 13:24 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.1054852321 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 13:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0296992918 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 13:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.013 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 06:59 | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 06-10 06:56 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.3678663729 | $50.00 |
| 06-10 06:55 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SELL | 0.1132440215 | $4.64 |
| 06-10 06:54 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.1219999802 | $5.00 |