PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x7c2763161E569e34432C2eEFF1A73d306FAe6e68-1770366654818

0x7c2763161e569e34432c2eeff1a73d306fae6e68

Realised P&L
$-188.01
Volume
$9.6k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$109.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.3360.770$91.74+$51.74
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4730.431$9.11−$0.89
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.035$4.06−$15.94
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.1050.037$3.56−$6.44
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026? · Yes0.0350.030$0.87−$0.13
Will Trump say "Greenland" during meetings with Chancellor Merz? · Yes0.3360.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$10.00
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.3880.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00−$2.36
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · No0.4700.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$40.00
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? · Yes0.3840.000$0.00−$9.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 22:03Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?BUY0.128$2.36
09-30 22:01Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?BUY0.0349999995$1.00
09-30 22:00Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4729999787$10.00
08-21 13:02Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.94$13.42
08-11 19:10Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.163999992$14.07
08-11 19:09Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0217237821$10.00
08-11 19:05Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?SELL0.54$25.00
08-11 18:58Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.5399999935$25.00
08-11 18:58Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999993$11.00
08-11 18:54Grok 4.6 released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.0735753964$10.00
08-11 18:54Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.2459123224$40.00
08-11 18:54Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
08-11 18:53Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.25$5.00
08-11 18:49Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.036$9.73
08-11 18:47Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0369999965$10.00