PolyBot

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Traders

0x7c2763161E569e34432C2eEFF1A73d306FAe6e68-1770366654818

0x7c2763161e569e34432c2eeff1a73d306fae6e68

Realised P&L
$-175.61
Volume
$9.6k
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$67.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.3360.205$24.43$15.57
Will the For safe food – through strengthening sustainable domestic production, increasing plant-based foods and ensuring clean drinking water (food initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.0600.027$18.03$21.97
Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote? · Yes0.1300.027$12.46$47.54
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$6.47$13.53
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes0.1050.065$6.16$3.84
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · Yes0.0800.002$0.25$9.75
Will Trump say "Greenland" during meetings with Chancellor Merz? · Yes0.3360.000$0.00$20.00
Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$10.00
Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · No0.3880.000$0.00$20.00
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · No0.4700.000$0.00$20.00
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28? · Yes0.3840.000$0.00$9.77
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during the State of the Union address? · No0.3900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 13:02Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.94$13.42
08-11 19:10Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.163999992$14.07
08-11 19:09Will Alibaba be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?BUY0.0217237821$10.00
08-11 19:05Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?SELL0.54$25.00
08-11 18:58Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?BUY0.5399999935$25.00
08-11 18:58Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7699999993$11.00
08-11 18:54Grok 4.6 released by August 21, 2026?BUY0.0735753964$10.00
08-11 18:54Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.2459123224$40.00
08-11 18:54Grok 4.6 released by August 13, 2026?BUY0.6699999625$5.00
08-11 18:53Grok 4.6 released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.25$5.00
08-11 18:49Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.036$9.73
08-11 18:47Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0369999965$10.00
08-11 18:46Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.08$10.00
08-11 18:45Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.0317612754$10.00
08-11 18:33Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?BUY0.3357204006$40.00