Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2030-01-01
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.28 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.20 to 0.48. 14 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.21	12,925	12,925
0.22	19,522	32,447
0.23	15,511	47,959
0.24	3,200	51,159
0.25	67	51,225
0.90	70	51,295
0.91	44	51,340
0.94	6	51,345
0.95	2,000	53,345
0.96	75	53,420
0.98	143	53,563
0.99	166	53,729

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.20	31,669	31,669
0.19	103,050	134,719
0.18	149,638	284,357
0.17	80,828	365,185
0.09	39	365,224
0.08	50	365,274
0.07	286	365,559
0.06	333	365,893
0.05	400	366,293
0.04	507	366,800
0.03	667	367,466
0.02	1,265	368,731

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.80	31,669	31,669
0.81	103,050	134,719
0.82	149,638	284,357
0.83	80,828	365,185
0.91	39	365,224
0.92	50	365,274
0.93	286	365,559
0.94	333	365,893
0.95	400	366,293
0.96	507	366,800
0.97	667	367,466
0.98	1,265	368,731

Spread0.01Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.79	12,925	12,925
0.78	19,522	32,447
0.77	15,511	47,959
0.76	3,200	51,159
0.75	67	51,225
0.10	70	51,295
0.09	44	51,340
0.06	6	51,345
0.05	2,000	53,345
0.04	75	53,420
0.02	143	53,563
0.01	166	53,729

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AiBird	Yes	5,001
3ddddd	Yes	800
eggsando	Yes	96
balabalababalabala	No	2,000
lissartter	No	1,650
yolkhead	No	1,000
GuyFromTinder	No	300
chessplayer	No	200
Cupzey	No	200
slobod	No	200
ZinfandelEnjoyer	No	200
Oscorp1	No	147

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:18:57	BUY	No	0.8	1,000	$800.00
08:14:25	SELL	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00
08:14:10	BUY	Yes	0.21	5	$1.05
06:35:36	BUY	Yes	0.21	800	$168.00
06:35:19	SELL	No	0.79	200	$158.00
06:35:16	SELL	No	0.79	600	$474.00
06:06:39	SELL	No	0.79	201	$158.79
06:06:28	BUY	Yes	0.21	96	$20.16
06:06:16	SELL	No	0.79	50	$39.50
06:06:03	SELL	No	0.79	250	$197.50
06:06:00	BUY	Yes	0.2	5,003	$1000.62
00:54:30	BUY	No	0.81	200	$162.00