Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2030-01-01
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.23. Unchanged over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.13 to 0.23. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	11,546	11,546
0.25	3,677	15,223
0.26	18,358	33,581
0.28	207	33,788
0.30	400	34,188
0.31	300	34,488
0.42	17	34,505
0.43	1,000	35,505
0.44	1,000	36,505
0.78	800	37,305
0.79	2,500	39,805
0.81	3,454	43,259

Spread0.01Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.23	1,735	1,735
0.22	5,177	6,911
0.21	15,026	21,937
0.20	3,349	25,286
0.19	8,248	33,534
0.18	25,038	58,572
0.14	57	58,629
0.13	4,000	62,629
0.11	5,909	68,538
0.10	201	68,739
0.09	7,222	75,962
0.07	11,214	87,176

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.77	1,735	1,735
0.78	5,177	6,911
0.79	15,026	21,937
0.80	3,349	25,286
0.81	8,248	33,534
0.82	25,038	58,572
0.86	57	58,629
0.87	4,000	62,629
0.89	5,909	68,538
0.90	201	68,739
0.91	7,222	75,962
0.93	11,214	87,176

Spread0.01Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	11,546	11,546
0.75	3,677	15,223
0.74	18,358	33,581
0.72	207	33,788
0.70	400	34,188
0.69	300	34,488
0.58	17	34,505
0.57	1,000	35,505
0.56	1,000	36,505
0.22	800	37,305
0.21	2,500	39,805
0.19	3,454	43,259

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
dromedaryy	Yes	32,139.06
Logan.	Yes	1,502
AiBird	Yes	862.21
Dr.PNL	Yes	600
timeistmoney	Yes	300
rocky42003	Yes	299.02
DEGENKHAN	Yes	251.99
Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed	Yes	173.73
lissartter	Yes	152
TpL7RbM9qX2	Yes	93.24
darthvanger1	Yes	43.48
Debosnys	Yes	31.65
GuyFromTinder	Yes	22
adsfasdf113	Yes	10
asdf112d	Yes	10
ddadsf	Yes	10
kartik0x	Yes	8.33
ninasimon	Yes	5.55
prophetOfTirisfal	Yes	5
Scoopdewhoop	Yes	4.49

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:47:55	SELL	No	0.76	49	$37.51
08:28:51	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.49
08:28:43	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
08:28:43	BUY	No	0.7699999992	13	$10.00
06:02:52	SELL	No	0.76	5	$3.92
06:02:51	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
05:52:28	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.40
05:52:19	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
05:40:31	SELL	No	0.76	0	$0.20
05:40:25	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
05:29:10	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
05:18:42	SELL	No	0.76	0	$0.20
05:18:34	SELL	No	0.76	5	$3.92
05:18:33	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
05:08:36	SELL	No	0.76	0	$0.20
05:08:31	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
04:58:07	SELL	No	0.76	0	$0.20
04:58:00	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
04:48:07	SELL	No	0.76	0	$0.20
04:47:57	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
04:38:03	SELL	No	0.76	0	$0.20
04:37:55	SELL	No	0.76	5	$3.92
04:37:52	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00
04:27:43	SELL	No	0.76	1	$0.40
04:27:36	BUY	No	0.7699999992	26	$20.00