ninasimon
0x655e3259a7290420c95c9a1c3d7dbdb8ad4ee0cc
- Realised P&L
- $-203.16
- Volume
- $39.4k
- Markets traded
- 245
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded245
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.42at 0.066US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$96.14at 0.793Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$44.28at 0.769Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- +$20.25at 0.835Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$20.08at 0.861Iran full airspace closure by August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 14:01 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $4.32 |
| 09-18 13:34 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999902 | $6.31 |
| 09-18 13:06 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3499999912 | $1.98 |
| 09-18 12:43 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3699999059 | $1.18 |
| 09-18 12:36 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.9629993222 | $1.03 |
| 09-18 11:20 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.40 |
| 09-18 11:01 | Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.19 |
| 09-18 10:54 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8447079142 | $18.22 |
| 09-18 10:45 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9299996978 | $1.20 |
| 09-18 10:36 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7699999977 | $19.96 |
| 09-18 09:45 | US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by September 30? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.51 |
| 09-18 09:14 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.73 |
| 09-18 09:14 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.6999998205 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 08:57 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $2.30 |
| 09-18 03:12 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $2.15 |