ninasimon
0x655e3259a7290420c95c9a1c3d7dbdb8ad4ee0cc
- Realised P&L
- $-281.12
- Volume
- $59.9k
- Markets traded
- 373
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded373
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.80at 0.121Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$160.42at 0.066US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$134.55at 0.686Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$129.44at 0.607Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$96.14at 0.793Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 17:27 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999951 | $27.82 |
| 11-02 17:24 | Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.1139999933 | $1.78 |
| 11-02 16:51 | Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? | BUY | 0.6899999956 | $28.26 |
| 11-02 16:24 | Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? | BUY | 0.028 | $2.31 |
| 11-02 16:13 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $11.97 |
| 11-02 15:59 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $8.40 |
| 11-02 15:20 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $2.48 |
| 11-02 14:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6639527207 | $12.78 |
| 11-02 14:00 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999869 | $8.73 |
| 11-02 13:43 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.79 |
| 11-02 13:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? | SELL | 0.71 | $5.78 |
| 11-02 13:40 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.21 |
| 11-02 13:40 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.865 | $9.09 |
| 11-02 13:40 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.58 |
| 11-02 13:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $4.34 |