PolyBot

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Traders

ninasimon

0x655e3259a7290420c95c9a1c3d7dbdb8ad4ee0cc

Realised P&L
$-281.12
Volume
$59.9k
Markets traded
373
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded373
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.6680.685$346.48+$8.36
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6950.925$303.10+$75.32
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? · Yes0.6810.665$288.30−$6.90
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6830.725$263.73+$15.36
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.6620.620$230.29−$15.82
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7970.685$200.63−$32.88
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6630.650$187.38−$3.86
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.9230.988$177.59+$11.63
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5490.555$118.94+$1.28
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7200.913$106.86+$22.60
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? · Yes0.2120.170$101.10−$25.21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9380.955$93.94+$1.68
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6980.755$78.20+$5.88
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? · No0.7460.725$66.21−$1.95
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.4000.385$63.75−$2.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 17:27Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6799999951$27.82
11-02 17:24Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.1139999933$1.78
11-02 16:51Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?BUY0.6899999956$28.26
11-02 16:24Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?BUY0.028$2.31
11-02 16:13Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.28$11.97
11-02 15:59US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.92$8.40
11-02 15:20Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.62$2.48
11-02 14:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?BUY0.6639527207$12.78
11-02 14:00Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.3799999869$8.73
11-02 13:43US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?SELL0.4$2.79
11-02 13:42Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?SELL0.71$5.78
11-02 13:40US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?BUY0.1$4.21
11-02 13:40Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.865$9.09
11-02 13:40Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$2.58
11-02 13:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?SELL0.72$4.34