PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

TpL7RbM9qX2

0x0b3003884e17a94c2941f3af94014f021c10778b

Realised P&L
$-790.55
Volume
$172.4k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No0.9690.966$597.82−$1.91
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9800.980$474.59−$0.17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9700.969$271.75−$0.28
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9520.952$124.80−$0.07
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · Yes0.2240.235$21.91+$1.00
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0390.033$7.54−$1.62
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? · Yes0.0390.029$7.25−$2.29
Clippers vs. Hawks · Hawks0.6100.000$0.00−$120.00
Rockets vs. Mavericks · Rockets0.7900.000$0.00−$140.00
Nuggets vs. Celtics · Celtics0.7600.000$0.00−$100.00
Lakers vs. 76ers · 76ers0.3900.000$0.00−$120.00
Trail Blazers vs. Raptors · Trail Blazers0.3400.000$0.00−$200.00
Heat vs. Pistons · Pistons0.6700.000$0.00−$220.00
Heat vs. Mavericks · Heat0.6300.000$0.00−$140.00
Pistons vs. Clippers · Pistons0.6000.000$0.00−$160.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 09:18Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.93$565.30
09-09 08:31Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.133$49.21
09-09 06:35Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.06$8.42
09-09 03:26Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.09$54.04
09-09 01:03Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$18.99
09-04 14:05Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.976$116.32
08-21 08:09Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.98$191.88
08-21 07:33Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.979$5.47
01-11 09:45Spurs vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.5699999991$100.00
01-11 09:4476ers vs. RaptorsBUY0.6199999999$100.00
01-11 09:43Knicks vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.64$100.00
01-11 09:42Nets vs. GrizzliesBUY0.709999998$100.00
01-07 11:53Rockets vs. Trail BlazersBUY0.7$120.00
01-07 11:52Suns vs. GrizzliesBUY0.64$100.00
01-07 11:51Magic vs. NetsBUY0.4599999983$100.00
Trader TpL7RbM9qX2 · PolyBot Pro