TpL7RbM9qX2
0x0b3003884e17a94c2941f3af94014f021c10778b
- Realised P&L
- $-790.55
- Volume
- $172.4k
- Markets traded
- 163
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded163
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.040Xi Jinping out before 2027?
- +$4.5kat 0.031Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$2.8kat 0.020Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$2.7kat 0.019Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.027Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 09:18 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $565.30 |
| 09-09 08:31 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.133 | $49.21 |
| 09-09 06:35 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.06 | $8.42 |
| 09-09 03:26 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.09 | $54.04 |
| 09-09 01:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.07 | $18.99 |
| 09-04 14:05 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.976 | $116.32 |
| 08-21 08:09 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.98 | $191.88 |
| 08-21 07:33 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.979 | $5.47 |
| 01-11 09:45 | Spurs vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 01-11 09:44 | 76ers vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.6199999999 | $100.00 |
| 01-11 09:43 | Knicks vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 01-11 09:42 | Nets vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 01-07 11:53 | Rockets vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.7 | $120.00 |
| 01-07 11:52 | Suns vs. Grizzlies | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 01-07 11:51 | Magic vs. Nets | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |