Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.13. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.12. Range 0.07 to 0.18. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	611	611
0.15	597	1,208
0.17	100	1,308
0.20	6	1,314
0.21	59	1,372
0.22	58	1,430
0.29	15	1,446
0.30	50	1,496
0.31	30	1,526
0.64	50	1,576
0.65	50	1,626
0.68	6	1,632

Spread0.02Mid0.13

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	110	110
0.11	480	590
0.10	1,395	1,986
0.09	420	2,406
0.08	80	2,486
0.07	1,116	3,601
0.06	2,512	6,114
0.05	490	6,604
0.04	638	7,241
0.03	500	7,741
0.02	520	8,261
0.01	500	8,761

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	110	110
0.89	480	590
0.90	1,395	1,986
0.91	420	2,406
0.92	80	2,486
0.93	1,116	3,601
0.94	2,512	6,114
0.95	490	6,604
0.96	638	7,241
0.97	500	7,741
0.98	520	8,261
0.99	500	8,761

Spread0.02Mid0.87

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	611	611
0.85	597	1,208
0.83	100	1,308
0.80	6	1,314
0.79	59	1,372
0.78	58	1,430
0.71	15	1,446
0.70	50	1,496
0.69	30	1,526
0.36	50	1,576
0.35	50	1,626
0.32	6	1,632

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
rabbit007	Yes	1,500.11
Dr.PNL	Yes	599.98
Haradwaith	Yes	241.68
ahhuat8	Yes	190
Bodytobody	Yes	181.85
Dow-Jones	Yes	100
sirjhow01	Yes	50
SmartBoyBilly	Yes	40.2
gonnakilmyslf	Yes	30
0xDCf3A4A79BA3C354f500489a33F9c0462510cf85-1770898031228	Yes	29.41
AJSV	Yes	28.53
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	21
lolzzzlol	Yes	20.01
polyweatheryuan	Yes	20
smarterstrat	Yes	20
tradetosurvive1	Yes	16.29
Mojito9	Yes	6.73
typhoontrader	Yes	4.55
79fsdfs	Yes	3.89
monoclith	Yes	1.4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:13:33	SELL	No	0.86	0	$0.26
00:17:21	SELL	Yes	0.12	50	$6.00
00:09:25	SELL	No	0.87	66	$57.42
00:09:15	SELL	No	0.87	303	$263.70
00:09:13	SELL	No	0.88	40	$35.20
18:09:10	SELL	Yes	0.11	112	$12.28
17:41:48	SELL	Yes	0.11	40	$4.40
16:17:13	SELL	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20
16:17:05	SELL	Yes	0.11	20	$2.20
16:15:13	SELL	No	0.88	2	$2.04
16:13:14	SELL	Yes	0.11	50	$5.50
16:11:07	SELL	Yes	0.11	50	$5.50
16:08:55	SELL	Yes	0.11	55	$6.05
16:08:29	SELL	Yes	0.11	200	$22.00
16:08:14	SELL	Yes	0.12	20	$2.40
16:08:13	BUY	No	0.87	43	$37.41
16:08:08	BUY	No	0.87	20	$17.39
16:08:08	SELL	Yes	0.13	346	$44.93
16:08:07	BUY	No	0.8699999975	20	$17.20
16:08:07	SELL	Yes	0.14	17	$2.38
16:08:07	SELL	Yes	0.14	40	$5.60
16:08:05	SELL	Yes	0.1498218297	2,208	$330.81
16:08:05	BUY	No	0.86	40	$34.40
16:08:05	BUY	No	0.86	20	$17.20
16:08:05	BUY	No	0.8599999949	102	$88.00