Dow-Jones
0xc5a972a409a190f5a7c1079051f62795e9fe0c9a
- Realised P&L
- $-408.14
- Volume
- $107.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,330
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,330
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.79at 0.558Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
- +$131.80at 0.670MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$114.80at 0.520Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score
- +$100.25at 0.353US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
- +$94.95at 0.480Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:19 | Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.66 | $13.20 |
| 08-01 13:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.40 |
| 07-29 08:23 | Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.44 |
| 07-26 09:27 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.659 | $7.91 |
| 07-26 09:26 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 07-25 19:32 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 07-20 22:00 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.00 |
| 07-20 21:58 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26? | BUY | 0.82 | $23.22 |
| 07-20 15:07 | Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 11:39 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.007 | $4.86 |
| 07-19 23:11 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 07-19 23:07 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.11 | $22.00 |
| 07-19 22:51 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 07-19 22:50 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 07-19 22:47 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |