PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Dow-Jones

0xc5a972a409a190f5a7c1079051f62795e9fe0c9a

Realised P&L
$-408.14
Volume
$107.1k
Markets traded
1,330
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,330
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? · Yes0.7680.835$175.65+$14.11
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8990.970$107.61+$7.80
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5240.435$100.91$20.76
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes0.5580.987$88.78+$38.59
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.6940.615$63.36$8.17
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · No0.9401.000$47.72+$2.84
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.915$45.75+$1.25
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6310.635$44.45+$0.25
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5300.750$37.50+$11.00
Will AfD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · No0.7200.700$35.00$1.00
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6380.685$31.25+$2.15
Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.1900.205$30.75+$2.25
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · No0.6340.655$28.57+$0.89
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.2400.265$26.50+$2.50
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.7800.635$25.40$5.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:19Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.66$13.20
08-01 13:35Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.53$53.40
07-29 08:23Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.86$12.44
07-26 09:27Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?BUY0.659$7.91
07-26 09:26Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2?BUY0.24$4.80
07-25 19:32US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?BUY0.35$1.75
07-20 22:00Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?SELL0.18$0.00
07-20 21:58Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26?BUY0.82$23.22
07-20 15:07Will CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.2$10.00
07-20 11:39Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.007$4.86
07-19 23:11Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.04$1.60
07-19 23:07Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?SELL0.11$22.00
07-19 22:51Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.06$1.20
07-19 22:50Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.06$1.20
07-19 22:47Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.19$3.80