polyweatheryuan
0x6bf633e483ed85b5a73c5a387bdffdd100772529
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $254.5k
- Markets traded
- 4,441
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,441
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$362.55at 0.324Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on May 29?
- +$318.38at 0.151Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?
- +$224.59at 0.066Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?
- +$183.81at 0.102Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 2?
- +$179.76at 0.355Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6946559849 | $14.74 |
| 09-22 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6933678421 | $21.43 |
| 09-22 04:49 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.56 | $24.40 |
| 09-22 04:41 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.7482758621 | $21.70 |
| 09-22 04:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8 | $42.26 |
| 09-22 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.65 |
| 09-22 03:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.78 | $33.15 |
| 09-22 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4520466926 | $17.43 |
| 09-22 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5 | $29.00 |
| 09-22 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.49 | $6.37 |
| 09-22 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5174903687 | $18.81 |
| 09-22 03:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.4776915157 | $23.20 |
| 09-22 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.1270848349 | $13.05 |
| 09-22 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.0992121389 | $3.40 |
| 09-22 03:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.2571271247 | $32.22 |