PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

polyweatheryuan

0x6bf633e483ed85b5a73c5a387bdffdd100772529

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$254.5k
Markets traded
4,441
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,441
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? · Yes0.6510.840$329.62+$74.25
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9270.947$173.51+$3.51
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9630.996$125.70+$4.16
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9360.958$102.30+$2.30
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? · No0.8570.953$60.74+$6.13
Next OpenAI GPT Sol (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.9330.942$56.52+$0.52
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · Yes0.9460.996$53.67+$2.68
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9630.971$52.31+$0.40
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? · Yes0.9150.913$45.67$0.07
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8350.925$36.57+$3.57
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · Yes0.6000.695$34.75+$4.75
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? · Yes0.8700.908$27.25+$1.16
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? · Yes0.8400.996$19.91+$3.11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in September? · No0.9110.986$19.71+$1.50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22? · No0.7480.660$19.14$2.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 04:55Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22?BUY0.6946559849$14.74
09-22 04:52Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.6933678421$21.43
09-22 04:49Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?SELL0.56$24.40
09-22 04:41Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 22?BUY0.7482758621$21.70
09-22 04:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.8$42.26
09-22 04:10Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.81$16.65
09-22 03:56Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.78$33.15
09-22 03:40Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?BUY0.4520466926$17.43
09-22 03:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.5$29.00
09-22 03:35Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.49$6.37
09-22 03:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.5174903687$18.81
09-22 03:32Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.4776915157$23.20
09-22 03:17Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.1270848349$13.05
09-22 03:09Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.0992121389$3.40
09-22 03:06Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22?BUY0.2571271247$32.22