PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xDCf3A4A79BA3C354f500489a33F9c0462510cf85-1770898031228

0xdcf3a4a79ba3c354f500489a33f9c0462510cf85

Realised P&L
$-88.35
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$9.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? · Yes0.0650.080$6.16+$1.16
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? · Yes0.1700.130$3.82$1.18
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00$10.00
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs · Trail Blazers0.1740.000$0.00$10.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00$5.00
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00$2.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? · Yes0.2890.000$0.00$50.00
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers · Blazers0.0720.000$0.00$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00$10.00
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$5.00
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 10:49Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?BUY0.1699999983$5.00
09-20 10:49Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?BUY0.0649543463$5.00
07-19 10:46World Cup: Fastest Goal in a Final Record Broken?BUY0.0326211059$2.00
07-19 10:43Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?BUY0.012$15.00
07-19 10:42Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.059999989$5.00
06-13 11:23Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.078999993$10.00
04-30 09:39Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?BUY0.0779648067$5.00
04-19 09:59NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Spurs vs. Trail Blazers BUY0.0699999939$9.44
04-19 09:56Trail Blazers vs. SpursBUY0.1699999871$9.50
03-22 13:50Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.001$5.00
03-22 13:49Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.0359999933$5.00
03-08 07:39Fulham FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.2$10.00
03-08 07:16Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?BUY0.1278721279$10.00
03-08 07:15Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY0.2889422086$50.00