PolyBot

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Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.023. down 0.009 over the period, from 0.032. Range 0.015 to 0.043. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0361212
0.0373042
0.03880122
0.048100222
0.05850272
0.060100372
0.06910,15010,522
0.07040010,922
0.08012111,043
0.09050011,543
0.19030011,843
0.5305011,893

Spread0.026Mid0.023

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01088
0.003180188
0.002200388
0.001524912

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99088
0.997180188
0.998200388
0.999524912

Spread0.026Mid0.977

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9641212
0.9633042
0.96280122
0.952100222
0.94250272
0.940100372
0.93110,15010,522
0.93040010,922
0.92012111,043
0.91050011,543
0.81030011,843
0.4705011,893

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
aosdijfYes538.38
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes80
AJSVYes25.62
Numitus1994Yes21
Mojito9Yes20
0xA36D5C089D7dc73F671c8Ca96ED83eC67f5E3654-1772745083995Yes11.64
BekbolYes6
a5533Yes3
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192Yes3
vozomnilNo561
Paul973973No50.63
ms1910No50
BernardoNo20
BAO95889No20
PPMTNo3
sqaolkytrpoiNo3
asdasasdsaasdNo1.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:47:31BUYNo0.987634693651$50.00
17:00:51BUYNo0.9826$25.48
10:39:58BUYNo0.96540$38.60
13:03:22BUYNo0.98899999011$1.00
16:05:06SELLNo0.9413$2.82
16:49:00BUYNo0.963$2.88
16:48:54BUYNo0.9520$19.00
09:09:04BUYNo0.9320$18.60
07:22:55BUYNo0.933$2.79
11:50:12BUYNo0.9220$18.40
10:00:25SELLYes0.085$0.40
08:24:19SELLNo0.91400$364.00
08:24:13SELLNo0.9120$18.20
08:24:04SELLNo0.9180$72.80
08:24:03BUYYes0.08538$43.07
00:29:13SELLNo0.926$5.52
00:18:04BUYYes0.0825$2.00
00:18:01BUYYes0.0821$1.68
22:00:18BUYNo0.8920$17.80
21:05:07BUYNo0.8850$44.00
01:17:01BUYYes0.26$1.20