asdasasdsaasd
0x8a782f05e79a899de8e986a7a497e724279e4898
- Realised P&L
- $-128.36
- Volume
- $11.5k
- Markets traded
- 3,014
- Open portfolio
- $106.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,014
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.67at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$10.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
- +$9.70at 0.353Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$7.64at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$6.90at 0.310XRP Up or Down - April 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:37 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 10:02 | Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 21:22 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 11:38 | Will 240 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.9789999883 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 13:46 | Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.9779999883 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 18:22 | Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 18:07 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 16:47 | Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31? | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 09:38 | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | BUY | 0.9539999828 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 09:17 | Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31? | BUY | 0.9699997866 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 06:08 | Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? | BUY | 0.9559990975 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 04:34 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 07-26 02:44 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 12:20 | Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 02:57 | Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999901 | $1.00 |