PolyBot

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Traders

asdasasdsaasd

0x8a782f05e79a899de8e986a7a497e724279e4898

Realised P&L
$-128.36
Volume
$11.5k
Markets traded
3,014
Open portfolio
$106.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,014
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9000.925$18.50+$0.50
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9400.922$18.44$0.35
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9300.915$9.15$0.15
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8700.865$8.65$0.05
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.700$7.00$0.40
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · Yes0.9540.995$1.04+$0.04
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · No0.9601.000$1.04+$0.04
Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9601.000$1.04+$0.04
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? · No0.9601.000$1.04+$0.04
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? · Yes0.9560.994$1.04+$0.04
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9600.996$1.04+$0.04
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9600.994$1.04+$0.04
Will Gelson Merisio win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · No0.9600.993$1.03+$0.03
Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? · No0.9701.000$1.03+$0.03
Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31? · No0.9701.000$1.03+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:37Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.98$1.00
08-04 10:02Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 3-August 9?BUY0.98$1.00
08-02 21:22Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?BUY0.99$1.00
07-29 11:38Will 240 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?BUY0.9789999883$1.00
07-28 13:46Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.9779999883$1.00
07-27 18:22Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.97$1.00
07-27 18:07Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.98$1.00
07-27 16:47Will Trump praise Benjamin Netanyahu by July 31?BUY0.998999002$1.00
07-27 09:38Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?BUY0.9539999828$1.00
07-26 09:17Will gas hit $4.25 (High) by July 31?BUY0.9699997866$1.00
07-26 06:08Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?BUY0.9559990975$1.00
07-26 04:34Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?BUY0.96$1.00
07-26 02:44Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
07-25 12:20Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.9889999901$1.00
07-25 02:57Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by July 24, 2026?BUY0.9889999901$1.00