PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

asdasasdsaasd

0x8a782f05e79a899de8e986a7a497e724279e4898

Realised P&L
$-133.01
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
3,177
Open portfolio
$131.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,177
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9000.977$19.54+$1.54
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · No0.9400.964$19.27+$0.48
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9300.945$9.45+$0.15
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.8700.885$8.85+$0.15
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.345$3.45$3.95
Will Gelson Merisio win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · No0.9600.999$1.04+$0.04
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.9520.989$1.04+$0.04
Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026? · No0.9600.997$1.04+$0.04
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.9550.988$1.03+$0.03
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9610.991$1.03+$0.03
Will United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No0.9560.985$1.03+$0.03
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% in September? · No0.9600.988$1.03+$0.03
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · No0.9721.000$1.03+$0.03
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.9771.000$1.02+$0.02
Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election? · No0.9630.983$1.02+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 08:41Israel military action against Syria by September 15, 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
09-13 00:07Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.9669992177$1.00
09-13 00:07Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?BUY0.987999996$1.00
09-12 17:24Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in September?BUY0.98$1.00
09-11 22:27Will gas hit $4.30 (High) by September 30?BUY0.99$1.00
09-11 21:08Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 4.78% in September?BUY0.999$1.00
09-11 21:08Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 11, 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
09-11 13:03Will at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9889999901$1.00
09-11 12:47Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
09-11 12:16Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?BUY0.96$1.00
09-11 07:35Will Iran target Syria by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9779999883$1.00
09-11 06:32Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?BUY0.97$1.00
09-11 05:29Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in September?BUY0.9779999883$1.00
09-11 04:11Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9819999863$1.00
09-11 04:11US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?BUY0.96$1.00