PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Paul973973

0xa1089452f0224a9973505f2d4347c2ea2f08abd3

Realised P&L
$-1.7k
Volume
$3.14M
Markets traded
967
Open portfolio
$124.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded967
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.9470.993$37.2k+$1.7k
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.8680.938$17.2k+$1.3k
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · No0.9400.935$11.9k$63.82
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9660.982$7.1k+$108.98
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? · No0.8801.000$6.8k+$814.78
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8210.790$6.4k$251.29
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8920.785$5.9k$803.01
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.7990.962$4.2k+$709.28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? · No0.9880.999$3.0k+$33.04
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9500.955$3.0k+$15.79
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.7550.978$2.6k+$590.25
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9580.984$2.6k+$67.41
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? · No0.9040.999$2.2k+$207.72
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.9080.978$2.2k+$154.89
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8700.925$2.1k+$126.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 18:38Will KFUM-Kameratene Oslo win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.95$100.00
09-18 18:03Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.998$3.0k
09-18 17:59Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.998$2.0k
09-18 17:52Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.9599999969$200.00
09-18 17:45Rennes: Borna Gojo vs Titouan DroguetBUY0.8599999997$100.00
09-18 15:55Biella: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Oriol Roca BatallaBUY0.92$200.00
09-18 12:43Guangzhou: Bernard Tomic vs Alexandr BindaBUY0.9779999999$100.00
09-18 06:26Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Philip SekulicBUY0.9897648222$100.00
09-18 06:24Phan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Philip SekulicBUY0.9769999999$100.00
09-18 04:03Phan Thiet 4: Cruz Hewitt vs Ilia SimakinBUY0.9989999899$90.00
09-18 03:57Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormBUY0.999$5.0k
09-18 03:55Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormBUY0.9989999995$1.3k
09-18 03:33Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormBUY0.997005988$1000.00
09-17 20:28Tiburon: Ryan Seggerman vs Mitchell KruegerBUY0.96$400.00
09-17 20:26Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?BUY0.96$100.00