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Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

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Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.003. Unchanged over the period, from 0.003. Range 0.003 to 0.003. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0035757
0.005115172
0.01020192
0.13198290
0.13235325
0.13430355
0.13525380
0.13750430
0.138150580
0.142147727
0.15020747
0.151100847

Spread0.001Mid0.003

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0021,6011,601
0.0016,2497,849

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9981,6011,601
0.9996,2497,849

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9975757
0.995115172
0.99020192
0.86998290
0.86835325
0.86630355
0.86525380
0.86350430
0.862150580
0.858147727
0.85020747
0.849100847

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x19b87FaD1d000FBcBB8253513FdeB50a36F30C6C-1774522622992Yes1,666.67
cigarettesYes650.26
0x28a193C258f15D56B8b7F704d205a229A8452a35-1775539020410Yes562.77
LornaPredictsYes534.79
IP1380Yes374.11
flexer78Yes115.15
TENETENETYes100
xiaoaojiangYes100
e46m3Yes99.08
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes97.88
balthazarYes96.53
PPMTYes45
0x56a8…eea2Yes30
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes23.74
AJSVYes23.68
HerrieDavisYes20
triklozoidYes15
donthackmeYes7.93
0x6ffd…cdbcYes6.75
0x8dc4…5c9aYes6.67

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
09:59:41BUYYes0.00299999941,667$5.00
22:28:41BUYNo0.998103$102.86
15:39:41BUYNo0.99850$49.91
08:47:18BUYNo0.99810$9.98
08:40:12BUYNo0.99840$39.92
08:40:08BUYNo0.99830$29.94
00:51:20SELLYes0.00266$0.13
22:52:33BUYNo0.99818$17.82
20:21:54BUYYes0.0035$0.01
20:21:48BUYYes0.0035$0.01
20:21:39BUYYes0.0035$0.01
19:19:24SELLYes0.00211$0.02
19:06:05BUYNo0.9985$4.99
19:06:05BUYNo0.99815$14.97
19:06:02BUYNo0.99840$39.92
19:03:32BUYNo0.99810$9.78
19:03:32BUYNo0.99820$19.96
19:03:32BUYNo0.99810$9.98
19:03:32BUYNo0.99810$9.98
19:03:32BUYNo0.99815$15.25
18:55:59BUYNo0.99810$9.98
18:50:45BUYNo0.99818$18.16
18:07:05SELLYes0.00316$0.05
18:03:56SELLYes0.00320$0.06
18:00:20BUYNo0.99727$26.92