PolyBot

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Traders

0x6ffd96a9ae66c6fa56a70532566a549db182cdbc

Realised P&L
$-18.01
Volume
$20.9k
Markets traded
2,086
Open portfolio
$0.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,086
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0090.007$0.06$0.01
Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? · Yes0.0050.004$0.03$0.01
Will 5 or more Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.0030.003$0.02$0.00
Will Christian Anderson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.0060.003$0.01$0.02
Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? · Yes0.0040.006$0.01+$0.00
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of UDMR? · Yes0.0090.002$0.01$0.05
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.002$0.01$0.00
Will the Left Party (V) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.00$0.02
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps decrease at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0100.001$0.00$0.06
Will Luther Campbell be the Democratic nominee for FL-20? · Yes0.0020.001$0.00$0.01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $10 in July? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.09
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$0.08
Will Geraldine Coggins win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.07
Will Pierre Chanel Tutugoro be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$0.09
Will Casemiro join Galatasaray? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 13:31Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?SELL0.009$0.06
07-04 20:43Will Austin Reaves play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?SELL0.01$0.06
07-04 20:42Will Andy Pages have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.01$0.09
07-01 02:32Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30?SELL0.01$0.09
06-30 16:46Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?SELL0.005$0.04
06-30 06:34Will Apple (AAPL) close above $350 end of June?SELL0.019$0.17
06-29 21:18Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?SELL0.014$0.09
06-29 20:42Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?SELL0.017$0.11
06-29 16:57Spread: Japan (-5.5)SELL0.002$0.02
06-29 14:19Will LEC (Europe / EMEA) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout StageSELL0.01$0.07
06-29 12:19Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 29?SELL0.003$0.02
06-29 05:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 29?SELL0.02$0.16
06-28 19:05Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 30?SELL0.001$0.01
06-28 19:05Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 29?SELL0.001$0.01
06-28 19:05100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?SELL0.001$0.01