0x6ffd96a9ae66c6fa56a70532566a549db182cdbc
- Realised P&L
- $-18.01
- Volume
- $20.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,086
- Open portfolio
- $0.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,086
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.04at 0.006Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria?
- +$0.54at 0.006Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)
- +$0.42at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 28?
- +$0.34at 0.008Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 27?
- +$0.29at 0.003Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:31 | Will Carlos Mendoza win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.06 |
| 07-04 20:43 | Will Austin Reaves play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 07-04 20:42 | Will Andy Pages have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.09 |
| 07-01 02:32 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $135B by June 30? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.09 |
| 06-30 16:46 | Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.04 |
| 06-30 06:34 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $350 end of June? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.17 |
| 06-29 21:18 | Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.09 |
| 06-29 20:42 | Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.11 |
| 06-29 16:57 | Spread: Japan (-5.5) | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 06-29 14:19 | Will LEC (Europe / EMEA) Region Win the Most Series in the MSI 2026 Knockout Stage | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 06-29 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 06-29 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.16 |
| 06-28 19:05 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-28 19:05 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-28 19:05 | 100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |