0x8dc49ff17c78cd31da2de53f1748033acf195c9a
- Realised P&L
- $-312.61
- Volume
- $680.7k
- Markets traded
- 6,363
- Open portfolio
- $19.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,363
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$194.92at 0.006Exact Score: Algeria 3 - 3 Austria?
- +$99.72at 0.006Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?
- +$97.80at 0.001Set Handicap: Diallo (-1.5) vs Bonzi (+1.5)
- +$48.45at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 30?
- +$29.71at 0.009Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:42 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.09 |
| 07-28 17:06 | Will xAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.09 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 AL East title? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Wells Fargo or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.10 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Moonshot have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.0017102273 | $0.06 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Lambda have the highest private market valuation on July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Jalen Duren play for the LA Clippers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Clémentine Autain advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.27 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.16 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Rhyne Howard win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Microsoft have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 07-25 10:15 | Will Marlon Scott West win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |