Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.017. up 0.013 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.002 to 0.019. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	126	126
0.019	4,231	4,356
0.020	9,241	13,597
0.022	500	14,097
0.030	2,050	16,147
0.054	187	16,334
0.055	333	16,667
0.070	467	17,134
0.084	5	17,139
0.104	80	17,219
0.105	85	17,304
0.106	50	17,354

Spread0.003Mid0.017

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.015	50	50
0.014	4,391	4,441
0.010	500	4,941
0.009	556	5,496
0.008	625	6,121
0.007	714	6,835
0.006	833	7,669
0.004	750	8,419
0.003	3,250	11,669
0.002	97,175	108,844
0.001	30,775	139,618

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.985	50	50
0.986	4,391	4,441
0.990	500	4,941
0.991	556	5,496
0.992	625	6,121
0.993	714	6,835
0.994	833	7,669
0.996	750	8,419
0.997	3,250	11,669
0.998	97,175	108,844
0.999	30,775	139,618

Spread0.003Mid0.984

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	126	126
0.981	4,231	4,356
0.980	9,241	13,597
0.978	500	14,097
0.970	2,050	16,147
0.946	187	16,334
0.945	333	16,667
0.930	467	17,134
0.916	5	17,139
0.896	80	17,219
0.895	85	17,304
0.894	50	17,354

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Neogenesis	Yes	9,240.8
0xee67…67a6	Yes	4,230.64
IP1380	Yes	2,933.9
HolyMoses7	Yes	1,560.99
perfectnostalgia	Yes	1,454.48
LornaPredicts	Yes	1,199.45
ethBELIVER	Yes	1,175.14
GingerMcKenna	Yes	923.26
donthackme	Yes	595.2
sdiff123	Yes	467.24
cigarettes	Yes	454.44
balthazar	Yes	253.2
0xf449…3c78	Yes	250
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.	Yes	186.55
Tee1000	Yes	150.22
xiaoaojiang	Yes	120
TENETENET	Yes	100
fang1957	Yes	80
0xF03D13c94373E052a177601419291Ce2FAfE21Fb-1769526558724	Yes	77.77
LesterDiamond	Yes	75.17

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:59:25	BUY	No	0.985	13	$12.51
00:59:25	BUY	No	0.985	10	$9.85
00:59:25	BUY	No	0.985	11	$10.84
23:56:39	BUY	No	0.985	8	$7.95
23:56:39	BUY	No	0.985	2	$1.52
22:32:27	SELL	Yes	0.022	52	$1.13
22:23:57	BUY	Yes	0.0194137931	58	$1.13
21:55:36	SELL	Yes	0.016	5	$0.08
21:10:37	BUY	Yes	0.015	30	$0.45
21:10:00	BUY	Yes	0.011992288	609	$7.31
21:09:24	BUY	No	0.996	370	$368.52
21:09:16	BUY	No	0.996	370	$368.52
21:09:13	BUY	No	0.996	14	$14.01
21:09:13	BUY	No	0.996	33	$32.62
21:09:13	BUY	No	0.996	10	$9.96
18:06:06	SELL	Yes	0.004	100	$0.40
18:03:04	BUY	No	0.996	33	$32.62
18:00:42	BUY	No	0.996	134	$133.49
16:56:17	BUY	No	0.996	52	$52.21
16:56:17	BUY	No	0.996	50	$49.80
16:56:17	BUY	No	0.996	40	$39.84
16:56:17	BUY	No	0.996	31	$30.43
15:34:11	BUY	No	0.996	50	$49.80
15:34:11	BUY	No	0.996	20	$19.92
15:03:09	BUY	No	0.996	10	$9.84