0xf44937570ae28cf65d44d1a75bd10bdb428f3c78
- Realised P&L
- $-8.55
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 36
- Open portfolio
- $6.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded36
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.98at 0.554Tampa Bay Rays vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$4.80at 0.394Houston Astros vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- +$2.90at 0.421Solana Up or Down - September 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$2.26at 0.578Spread: HOU (-1.5)
- +$1.97at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 09:09 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 15:18 | Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 13:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 12:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 12:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999904 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 11:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 11:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 11:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:43 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:33 | Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET | BUY | 0.069999999 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 21:01 | Spread: Broncos (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 20:58 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 09-14 20:36 | Solana Up or Down - September 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |