PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xf44937570ae28cf65d44d1a75bd10bdb428f3c78

Realised P&L
$-8.55
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$6.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.0040.018$4.38+$3.38
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.5700.555$1.95$0.05
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 · Under0.5200.000$0.00$1.00
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 6.5 · Under0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
ATL vs. PIT: O/U 42.5 · Over0.4900.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up0.0700.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.1500.000$0.00$5.00
Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) · Broncos0.5200.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5) · RB Leipzig0.6700.000$0.00$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Up0.0900.000$0.00$1.00
Rams Team Total: O/U 26.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 · Over0.4700.000$0.00$2.00
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10? · No0.4300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 09:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$2.00
09-15 20:51Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-15 15:18Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
09-15 13:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.95$1.00
09-15 12:56Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.08$1.00
09-15 12:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-15 11:52Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETBUY0.96$2.00
09-15 11:48Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETBUY0.98$1.00
09-15 11:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.3299998944$1.00
09-14 21:43Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-14 21:33Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-14 21:01Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ETBUY0.069999999$2.00
09-14 21:01Spread: Broncos (-1.5)BUY0.5699999886$1.00
09-14 20:58Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?BUY0.5699999886$2.00
09-14 20:36Solana Up or Down - September 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.4$2.00