perfectnostalgia
0x0ffcad4963e25dc150774363f4061ebe840c8236
- Realised P&L
- $153.4k
- Volume
- $3.51M
- Markets traded
- 806
- Open portfolio
- $34.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded806
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.9kat 0.350Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?
- +$12.8kat 0.348Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?
- +$11.6kat 0.406Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in February?
- +$10.8kat 0.028Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
- +$9.3kat 0.302Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:25 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.4160155012 | $73.53 |
| 09-17 17:24 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.67 | $126.25 |
| 09-17 13:56 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6065771647 | $1.2k |
| 09-17 06:39 | Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.30 |
| 09-16 21:10 | Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.011992288 | $7.31 |
| 09-16 21:09 | Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.1736291601 | $164.34 |
| 09-16 19:30 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.62 | $136.11 |
| 09-15 21:36 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4621658029 | $206.88 |
| 09-15 21:32 | Will the US add at least 200k jobs in September? | BUY | 0.91 | $43.68 |
| 09-15 21:30 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in September? | BUY | 0.39 | $14.82 |
| 09-15 19:34 | Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.6663547898 | $575.88 |
| 09-15 07:13 | Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? | BUY | 0.59 | $23.60 |
| 09-14 16:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.0k |
| 09-14 16:01 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.3312302538 | $135.45 |
| 09-14 16:00 | Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.3491588428 | $82.19 |