PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

perfectnostalgia

0x0ffcad4963e25dc150774363f4061ebe840c8236

Realised P&L
$135.4k
Volume
$3.29M
Markets traded
738
Open portfolio
$46.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded738
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? · Yes0.6720.645$8.1k$341.03
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8360.915$7.0k+$607.24
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.8170.875$5.9k+$390.39
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · No0.3880.760$5.3k+$2.6k
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · Yes0.3890.415$3.2k+$195.81
Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July? · Yes0.2890.320$3.1k+$302.09
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July? · Yes0.3080.305$2.7k$24.25
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2750.304$2.4k+$238.17
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · No0.6730.865$2.4k+$540.40
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026? · No0.8520.954$2.4k+$255.28
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7660.355$1.2k$1.4k
Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July? · Yes0.2200.215$1.0k$22.83
ECB rate cut in 2026? · No0.8800.910$824.64+$27.19
Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · No0.6090.675$539.96+$52.72
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? · Yes0.1800.240$264.26+$66.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 21:17Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.65$145.12
08-01 21:17Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.3$411.45
08-01 21:17Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.2974706861$904.67
08-01 21:16Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in July?BUY0.628$43.86
08-01 21:16Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in July?BUY0.11$11.24
08-01 21:12No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8768708732$3.8k
07-30 21:42No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8297884486$1.2k
07-30 08:08Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.6493839199$1.7k
07-26 11:29Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.38$79.25
07-26 10:05Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?BUY0.26$101.37
07-26 10:04Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.37$271.58
07-23 19:56Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.31$133.13
07-23 19:51Will annual inflation be 3.5% in July?BUY0.23$8.97
07-23 09:00Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?BUY0.29927$299.27
07-22 19:00Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.44$84.57