PolyBot

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Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 28-October 4?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-10-04
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.079. down 0.171 over the period, from 0.250. Range 0.050 to 0.320. 74 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0905252
0.09152103
0.09920123
0.10320143
0.12035179
0.131286465
0.132281746
0.142130876
0.1451871,063
0.190301,093
0.6252401,333
0.6292001,533

Spread0.022Mid0.079

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0686060
0.06695155
0.06025180
0.04939219
0.02311230
0.022200430
0.02160490
0.020100590
0.0116596
0.010110706
0.00410716
0.003207923

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9326060
0.93495155
0.94025180
0.95139219
0.97711230
0.978200430
0.97960490
0.980100590
0.9896596
0.990110706
0.99610716
0.997207923

Spread0.022Mid0.921

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9105252
0.90952103
0.90120123
0.89720143
0.88035179
0.869286465
0.868281746
0.858130876
0.8551871,063
0.810301,093
0.3752401,333
0.3712001,533

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Started-with-20-USDYes207.14
HaradwaithYes187.48
0xE43235629C5F4581D039CEc28014dC74631b934A-1767367002794Yes81.08
AJSVYes71
pootytherewardfarmerYes47.99
0x3a9d…f332Yes46.58
nana130299Yes40
Dr.PNLYes35.48
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
2B9SYes27
itsjustcheddarYes22.16
vasiksimYes20
0x5F3ee9c40Be255D1C18cA38bf4Ab94b564C75337-1776862065527Yes10.96
CryptoCzar777Yes6.62
80fA5eYes1
0xa5ef…2966No771.93
GuyFromTinderNo21.6
lolzzzlolNo20
ZhouCDNo20
rubby1337No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
11:51:39BUYYes0.120$2.00
08:35:18SELLYes0.0550$2.50
01:03:57BUYYes0.081026638381$6.57
21:46:32SELLYes0.037$0.20
20:37:47BUYYes0.0813$1.02
17:07:34SELLYes0.021$0.02
16:41:55SELLNo0.914$3.28
15:07:49BUYYes0.059999998834$2.03
15:07:49BUYYes0.0622$1.33
15:06:23SELLYes0.1320$2.60
15:06:20SELLYes0.1340$5.20
15:06:19SELLYes0.1320$2.60
15:06:17BUYNo0.8720$17.39
15:06:17BUYNo0.8364510248410$342.94
15:06:17BUYNo0.85115$98.09
15:06:17BUYNo0.869999994219$16.60
15:06:17BUYNo0.8530$25.50
15:06:17BUYNo0.849999997722$18.60
14:34:50SELLYes0.1720$3.40
14:33:43BUYNo0.82999999220$16.57
14:33:43BUYNo0.828743070522$18.00
14:33:43BUYNo0.814270654387$71.06
14:33:43BUYNo0.8210$8.20
14:33:43BUYNo0.8130$24.30
12:48:01BUYNo0.8720$17.40