PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-03-02
Resolves by
https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/graphs/graph_data/Global_Mean_Estimates_based_on_Land_and_Ocean_Data/graph.txt

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.89. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.89. Range 0.87 to 0.91. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.901111
0.918,0658,076
0.921898,265
0.931248,389
0.941138,503
0.953858,888
0.969949,882
0.9794210,823
0.981,55012,373
0.995,57717,951

Spread0.02Mid0.89

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.884,4684,468
0.87144,482
0.835805,062
0.826445,706
0.811195,825
0.801045,929
0.79756,004
0.781146,118
0.763006,418
0.756647,082
0.742,94910,031
0.732,04112,072

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.124,4684,468
0.13144,482
0.175805,062
0.186445,706
0.191195,825
0.201045,929
0.21756,004
0.221146,118
0.243006,418
0.256647,082
0.262,94910,031
0.272,04112,072

Spread0.02Mid0.11

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.101111
0.098,0658,076
0.081898,265
0.071248,389
0.061138,503
0.053858,888
0.049949,882
0.0394210,823
0.021,55012,373
0.015,57717,951

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
russell110320Yes82,317.54
flawfenceYes42,624.62
SS123Yes25,251.56
balerinacapuchinaYes23,096.85
gopfan2Yes15,877.99
RailcoolYes14,507.27
0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209Yes5,007.96
0x3E4a072Bf427421A34a9b085c0A8796c7Da7DCed-1730836150436Yes4,251.03
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935Yes2,100.02
aviatoYes2,024.99
MrVatanaYes2,000
GollumGekkoYes1,959.92
singularitymanYes1,914
big-bird1Yes1,307.69
buyaoshangtou1Yes1,057.73
varch01Yes1,000
0x5bc4D9adDd8597eb34e255d97c194f4D78Bf44fYes999.97
0x3c9f…4481Yes977.14
new-account-test222Yes816.92
0x6816e4AF6c3fB1b9d0009Fc65dEd6dBb65Ef8484-1779000679835Yes799.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:39:46BUYNo0.12411$49.29
20:38:52BUYNo0.12400$48.00
20:33:45BUYNo0.11999999942$5.00
19:23:52SELLYes0.8810$8.54
15:28:55SELLYes0.89139$123.43
15:01:10SELLYes0.896$5.62
21:38:48SELLNo0.07130555971,532$109.23
16:11:33SELLNo0.08473823781,271$107.69
15:30:09SELLYes0.8835$30.98
12:48:19BUYYes0.925$22.50
07:55:54BUYYes0.8955$48.95
18:21:46SELLYes0.8872$63.54
17:53:21BUYYes0.9279$251.10
17:14:18BUYNo0.1245$5.40
17:13:15BUYNo0.12503$60.36
17:13:04BUYNo0.1140$4.40
14:51:40BUYNo0.11380$41.80
11:03:58BUYNo0.1123$2.53
10:44:18BUYNo0.11435$47.85
05:03:22BUYNo0.119$1.03
04:30:10BUYNo0.119$1.00
04:30:03BUYNo0.119$1.00
04:29:57BUYNo0.1110$1.15
04:29:49BUYNo0.1112$1.27
04:25:49BUYNo0.119$1.00