Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.74. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.76. Range 0.71 to 0.78. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	180	180
0.76	160	340
0.77	97	437
0.78	206	643
0.79	583	1,226
0.80	602	1,828
0.81	65	1,893
0.82	702	2,595
0.83	1,430	4,025
0.85	155	4,180
0.86	60	4,240
0.87	10	4,250

Spread0.01Mid0.74

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.74	91	91
0.73	150	241
0.72	5,000	5,241
0.69	30	5,271
0.68	26	5,296
0.67	10	5,306
0.66	35	5,341
0.65	105	5,446
0.64	20	5,466
0.63	120	5,586
0.62	796	6,383
0.61	1,941	8,324

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.26	91	91
0.27	150	241
0.28	5,000	5,241
0.31	30	5,271
0.32	26	5,296
0.33	10	5,306
0.34	35	5,341
0.35	105	5,446
0.36	20	5,466
0.37	120	5,586
0.38	796	6,383
0.39	1,941	8,324

Spread0.01Mid0.26

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	180	180
0.24	160	340
0.23	97	437
0.22	206	643
0.21	583	1,226
0.20	602	1,828
0.19	65	1,893
0.18	702	2,595
0.17	1,430	4,025
0.15	155	4,180
0.14	60	4,240
0.13	10	4,250

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
russell110320	Yes	44,243.29
flawfence	Yes	42,968.6
SS123	Yes	34,770.45
gopfan2	Yes	15,877.99
Railcool	Yes	14,507.27
AlmostAndy	Yes	7,206.4
0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209	Yes	3,527.73
0x3E4a072Bf427421A34a9b085c0A8796c7Da7DCed-1730836150436	Yes	3,166.52
banestow	Yes	2,137.13
MrVatana	Yes	2,000
singularityman	Yes	1,970
GollumGekko	Yes	1,959.92
toweli3	Yes	1,121.47
buyaoshangtou1	Yes	1,057.73
varch01	Yes	1,000
aviato	Yes	1,000
mountaindewd	Yes	1,000
0x5bc4D9adDd8597eb34e255d97c194f4D78Bf44f	Yes	999.97
0xDe289Ba666E7bb7c74C65aE0a03c9f78d91C2115-1766943170171	Yes	995
0x3c9f…4481	Yes	977.14

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:10:00	SELL	Yes	0.75	50	$37.50
17:20:58	SELL	Yes	0.75	175	$131.25
15:01:09	SELL	Yes	0.76	215	$163.53
09:52:57	SELL	Yes	0.76	1	$1.06
08:47:00	BUY	Yes	0.77	30	$23.10
23:06:19	SELL	Yes	0.75	11	$8.25
22:57:57	BUY	No	0.2491777135	20	$5.00
08:55:30	SELL	No	0.22	4	$0.95
00:13:15	SELL	Yes	0.76	19	$14.30
22:50:51	SELL	Yes	0.76	16	$12.16
18:46:31	SELL	Yes	0.76	14	$10.29
17:43:39	SELL	No	0.22	20	$4.40
13:24:40	BUY	No	0.25	10	$2.50
13:24:39	BUY	No	0.2575259772	20	$5.20
06:00:51	BUY	No	0.2538533333	75	$19.04
21:12:21	SELL	Yes	0.76	0	$0.14
17:28:27	SELL	Yes	0.76	12	$9.02
16:53:31	SELL	Yes	0.76	1	$1.08
16:14:22	BUY	Yes	0.78	42	$32.64
13:42:25	SELL	Yes	0.74	0	$0.30
10:36:51	BUY	Yes	0.7740799233	907	$702.38
21:30:18	BUY	Yes	0.7583919598	199	$150.92
20:42:46	BUY	No	0.30737024	313	$96.05
20:25:43	BUY	Yes	0.756720559	1,031	$780.00
19:38:51	BUY	Yes	0.72	25	$18.00