Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.49. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.42. Range 0.42 to 0.58. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	447	447
0.51	489	937
0.54	687	1,624
0.55	1,151	2,775
0.56	473	3,247
0.57	272	3,520
0.58	461	3,981
0.59	752	4,733
0.60	7	4,740
0.61	152	4,892
0.62	262	5,154
0.63	152	5,306

Spread0.01Mid0.49

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.49	153	153
0.48	95	248
0.47	195	442
0.46	333	776
0.45	533	1,309
0.44	3,420	4,729
0.43	4,829	9,558
0.41	40	9,598
0.40	10	9,608
0.39	3,877	13,485
0.38	5,005	18,490
0.34	15	18,505

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.51	153	153
0.52	95	248
0.53	195	442
0.54	333	776
0.55	533	1,309
0.56	3,420	4,729
0.57	4,829	9,558
0.59	40	9,598
0.60	10	9,608
0.61	3,877	13,485
0.62	5,005	18,490
0.66	15	18,505

Spread0.01Mid0.51

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	447	447
0.49	489	937
0.46	687	1,624
0.45	1,151	2,775
0.44	473	3,247
0.43	272	3,520
0.42	160	3,680
0.41	752	4,432
0.40	7	4,439
0.39	152	4,591
0.38	262	4,853
0.37	152	5,005

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
flawfence	Yes	42,809.73
SS123	Yes	34,770.45
russell110320	Yes	26,507.4
Railcool	Yes	23,901.23
gopfan2	Yes	15,877.99
AlmostAndy	Yes	7,206.4
supersmard	Yes	5,368
MrVatana	Yes	2,000
GollumGekko	Yes	1,959.92
Copyright-1	Yes	1,716.57
0x1283E685939f642DF0129e98956E296c86af2A9D-1778567502046	Yes	1,212.2
0x3E4a072Bf427421A34a9b085c0A8796c7Da7DCed-1730836150436	Yes	1,196.46
toweli3	Yes	1,121.47
varch01	Yes	1,000
mountaindewd	Yes	1,000
0x5bc4D9adDd8597eb34e255d97c194f4D78Bf44f	Yes	999.97
0xC5AEdfb4343C0120dA31F0518F327611b6914Cf1-1764611479131	Yes	999.96
0x3c9f…4481	Yes	977.14
D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC38935	Yes	855.12
0x34dBc406881A24B82F4b138e09169d9a004B1B63-1777004802209	Yes	830.23

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:27:42	BUY	No	0.51	25	$12.50
19:57:14	BUY	No	0.51	5	$2.55
16:52:36	BUY	No	0.51	30	$15.30
16:52:35	BUY	No	0.51	10	$5.10
16:52:35	BUY	No	0.51	6	$3.00
14:52:14	SELL	No	0.5	2	$1.23
12:07:03	BUY	Yes	0.5	10	$4.92
11:49:50	SELL	Yes	0.49	2	$0.92
08:49:00	BUY	Yes	0.5	2	$1.02
08:14:53	BUY	Yes	0.5	3	$1.60
06:47:45	BUY	Yes	0.5	30	$15.00
05:24:27	SELL	No	0.5	5	$2.50
03:09:09	BUY	Yes	0.509999944	8	$4.01
03:09:09	BUY	Yes	0.5099999965	3	$1.47
03:09:06	BUY	Yes	0.5	803	$401.38
00:54:44	SELL	No	0.5	2	$1.13
00:48:14	BUY	No	0.5199999647	2	$1.18
00:18:11	BUY	No	0.5	45	$22.50
00:17:35	SELL	Yes	0.5	5	$2.50
00:17:23	BUY	No	0.48	73	$35.26
23:29:26	BUY	Yes	0.5299998781	2	$1.00
19:48:18	SELL	No	0.46	2	$0.90
17:19:09	BUY	No	0.4760629701	250	$119.00
16:57:48	SELL	Yes	0.53	9	$4.75
16:15:06	BUY	No	0.45	41	$18.63